TullyHeel
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Everything posted by TullyHeel
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RAH doesn't seem like they believe what the models are showing at all.
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Dew points look good here.
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7 inches from Wake westward in NC.
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Well, if we are within 24 hours and the models are about the same as they are now, and it ends up like RAH says, then the technology really needs to be improved with regards to the models.
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An inch or two in the triad? Okay...
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EPS mean is 7 to 9 across Wake. The gradient is diminished, too.
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Euro ensembles mean is up.
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The only question here appears to be what will the temps be during the event. I think the CAD could end up being stronger than modeled here, which would give us more frozen precip. I don't think it will be all snow, but will mix at times with sleet and freezing rain, but I could see it end up being more frozen precip than rain. A degree or two can make all the difference, as well as where exactly you are located when it comes to Wake County.
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All the models showing a high impact event for most of NC, Raleigh and to the west. Still have three days to go, though.
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Looks very consistent. I count 17 or 18 that I would consider a big storm for me.
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Sure is nice to see the totals today actually be consistent or increase on most of the model runs instead of the other way around. Looks like most have anywhere from 6 to 12 inches across Wake.
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GFS, UK, and FV3 all look awesome for most of NC, especially Wake westward.
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Looks like the GEFS mean went up, too. 8 to 12 across Wake.
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I like that pocket of 12 over my house, too.
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Solid 5 to 10 inches across Wake, and that's with the Kuchera map.
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Wow, looks like the GFS really upped the totals for Wake westward, and even increased totals to the east.
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Looks like some folks are worried about the NAM being too warm for my neck of the woods.
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Gotta love that tight gradient between 5 and 12 inches.
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The ensembles have been pretty consistent. Mean keeps showing 3 to 6 for Wake, and the control 5 to 8. I think we get too caught up in the totals sometimes. They don't ever get the totals exactly right. The good thing is they are still showing the potential for a good storm here. Just have to see what actually happens. It's like having a good basketball team that shows potential to get a big win, but it doesn't guarantee they are going to do it.
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Not a foot, but I will gladly take it for the first storm so soon in December.
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I will gladly take my foot. Seriously, even half of that would be awesome. The runs keep getting better and better.
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If you have a shot to get your yearly snow average in one storm the first part of December, that's a big storm.
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No, I am talking about the 3 to 6 inches most are showing for Wake.
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