I'll take 1 to 2 with maybe a shot at 3 to 4. This really looks like one of those deals where we won't know amounts until it's already unfolding. We're less than 48 hours out now.
Looks like right now all the models except the NAM have the precip in NC moving west to east across the state. NAM is the only one that keeps the precip in Wake and to the east.
NAM seems to be farther east this time. Less precip in the Triangle, more east of Wake. Crazy how different the models are with where the precip is less than 36 hours out.