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Everything posted by Brick Tamland
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December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Love seeing that. This would be a major storm for most of NC. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
I am saying the totals they are showing rarely happen here. But it seems that is what most people are basing everything on in discounting the models. And if you have that attitude about what the models show, even when the majority of them have been showing the same thing the past two days, then I don't even get the point of looking at them. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Euro, UK, and CMC all look good. Not sure why people are saying they are showing less snow. Looks pretty consistent to me. It seems folks just don't want to believe the models because what they are showing is rare here. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
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December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
So, really it's one NAM run that was bad, one GFS run that wasn't quite as good versus the UK, FV3, and Canadian that still look great today. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
FV3 singing some Tom Petty, I won't back down. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
NAM was worse, GFS wasn't as good, and now the Canadian and FV3 are colder and snowier. I guess we get the model wars now. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
It would also be nice if people gave proof as to why the models are wrong, other factors they can actually show, instead of just saying climatology and it's rare to get a big winter storm here. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah, Canadian was actually better compared to its previous runs. GFS still looked good for most of NC. That would still be a big storm for here. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Nice jump in totals from Raleigh to the Triad. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Seriously, for a storm so early in December, that is huge. That would be my snowfall average for winter. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Still 5 to 8 for Wake. I'd gladly take that. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Well, maybe the models are doing a 180 today. Only waited about 60 hours out -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Looks like that NAM run might be a little off. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Either way, it would be a big winter storm here, even if it isn't snow. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Well, more room for me up here on the cliff with all the folks jumping after that one NAM run. If you know things are going to always turn out bad, I'm not sure why you even come on here until 24 hours out before a storm is supposed to hit. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
If you're married and/or have kids, I'd bank on one of those. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
That is what I was wondering, if it was based on any other data they have right now, or if it is just based on what has happened in the past. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Okay, so where is the info that shows they could be wrong? What is the other info that RAH is basing their forecast on right now? What other data are they using besides the fact storms as big as the models are showing are rare here? -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
It been is just hard for me to ignore the consistency and agreement with the various models. I know what has happened in the past, but we also don't usually have this much consistency and agreement with the models. They would all have to be wrong or start to do a complete 180 now. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Yet, all the models went farther east with snow. I would really like to know why they think it will be different. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
What did he say? -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
That is what I am looking for, too. If you have some other reason or technology showing the models are wrong, then what is it? Just because it is rare to get a storm like the models show here and this early in December is not enough reason. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
History also told us Florence should have went out to sea, and it the models were right. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Wow, looked like the GFS, Euro, FV3, and NAM all crushed NC last night from Raleigh westward. I don't think I have ever seen all the models do that before.