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Brick Tamland

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Everything posted by Brick Tamland

  1. Brick Tamland
    Love seeing that. This would be a major storm for most of NC.
  2. Brick Tamland
    I am saying the totals they are showing rarely happen here. But it seems that is what most people are basing everything on in discounting the models. And if you have that attitude about what the models show, even when the majority of them have been showing the same thing the past two days, then I don't even get the point of looking at them.
  3. Brick Tamland
    Euro, UK, and CMC all look good. Not sure why people are saying they are showing less snow. Looks pretty consistent to me. It seems folks just don't want to believe the models because what they are showing is rare here.
  4. Brick Tamland
  5. Brick Tamland
    So, really it's one NAM run that was bad, one GFS run that wasn't quite as good versus the UK, FV3, and Canadian that still look great today.
  6. Brick Tamland
    FV3 singing some Tom Petty, I won't back down.
  7. Brick Tamland
    NAM was worse, GFS wasn't as good, and now the Canadian and FV3 are colder and snowier. I guess we get the model wars now.
  8. Brick Tamland
    It would also be nice if people gave proof as to why the models are wrong, other factors they can actually show, instead of just saying climatology and it's rare to get a big winter storm here.
  9. Brick Tamland
    Yeah, Canadian was actually better compared to its previous runs. GFS still looked good for most of NC. That would still be a big storm for here.
  10. Brick Tamland
    Nice jump in totals from Raleigh to the Triad.
  11. Brick Tamland
    Seriously, for a storm so early in December, that is huge. That would be my snowfall average for winter.
  12. Brick Tamland
    Still 5 to 8 for Wake. I'd gladly take that.
  13. Brick Tamland
    Well, maybe the models are doing a 180 today. Only waited about 60 hours out
  14. Brick Tamland
    Looks like that NAM run might be a little off.
  15. Brick Tamland
    Either way, it would be a big winter storm here, even if it isn't snow.
  16. Brick Tamland
    Well, more room for me up here on the cliff with all the folks jumping after that one NAM run. If you know things are going to always turn out bad, I'm not sure why you even come on here until 24 hours out before a storm is supposed to hit.
  17. Brick Tamland
    If you're married and/or have kids, I'd bank on one of those.
  18. Brick Tamland
    That is what I was wondering, if it was based on any other data they have right now, or if it is just based on what has happened in the past.
  19. Brick Tamland
    Okay, so where is the info that shows they could be wrong? What is the other info that RAH is basing their forecast on right now? What other data are they using besides the fact storms as big as the models are showing are rare here?
  20. Brick Tamland
    It been is just hard for me to ignore the consistency and agreement with the various models. I know what has happened in the past, but we also don't usually have this much consistency and agreement with the models. They would all have to be wrong or start to do a complete 180 now.
  21. Brick Tamland
    Yet, all the models went farther east with snow. I would really like to know why they think it will be different.
  22. Brick Tamland
    What did he say?
  23. Brick Tamland
    That is what I am looking for, too. If you have some other reason or technology showing the models are wrong, then what is it? Just because it is rare to get a storm like the models show here and this early in December is not enough reason.
  24. Brick Tamland
    History also told us Florence should have went out to sea, and it the models were right.
  25. Brick Tamland
    Wow, looked like the GFS, Euro, FV3, and NAM all crushed NC last night from Raleigh westward. I don't think I have ever seen all the models do that before.
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