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Brick Tamland

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Everything posted by Brick Tamland

  1. Brick Tamland
    Canadian went south, eh?
  2. Brick Tamland
    So, cooler or warmer?
  3. Brick Tamland
    NAM really bringing in the cold air to NC.
  4. Brick Tamland
    I just don't think you can discount the consistency of the models, and how different models are showing the same thing over and over. And everything has trended colder and farther south and east with the snow all day. Yeah, I can see questioning getting a foot here, but even half of that would be amazing this early in December. I just don't see this being more rain than mostly snow and other frozen precip based on how consistent and similar the Euro, GFS, FV3, and NAM have been.
  5. Brick Tamland
    Looks like the totals increased again farther south and east on the GFS.
  6. Brick Tamland
    We also saw a hurricane do something that has never been done before with Florence.
  7. Brick Tamland
    This might be more realistic.
  8. Brick Tamland
    I believe.
  9. Brick Tamland
    Models just keep getting better and better. Really hope the rug is not going to be pulled out from under us.
  10. Brick Tamland
    GFS before it got stuck.
  11. Brick Tamland
    Looks like almost all snow this time. Colder and farther south has been the theme today.
  12. Brick Tamland
    I think all the major ones except the ICON.
  13. Brick Tamland
    And I have heard numerous times the CAD is often stronger and harder to erode than the models show.
  14. Brick Tamland
    That look reminds me so much of what it looked like the evening before the Carolina Crusher in Jan 2000. I remember looking at the radar before leaving work that night and wondering why the local forecasters and RAH was not calling for much of anything here with regards to snow. I know the technology has improved since then. But now it seems like they don't believe the technology this go around.
  15. Brick Tamland
    RAH doesn't seem like they believe what the models are showing at all.
  16. Brick Tamland
    Dew points look good here.
  17. Brick Tamland
    7 inches from Wake westward in NC.
  18. Brick Tamland
    Well, if we are within 24 hours and the models are about the same as they are now, and it ends up like RAH says, then the technology really needs to be improved with regards to the models.
  19. Brick Tamland
    An inch or two in the triad? Okay...
  20. Brick Tamland
    EPS mean is 7 to 9 across Wake. The gradient is diminished, too.
  21. Brick Tamland
    Euro ensembles mean is up.
  22. Brick Tamland
    The only question here appears to be what will the temps be during the event. I think the CAD could end up being stronger than modeled here, which would give us more frozen precip. I don't think it will be all snow, but will mix at times with sleet and freezing rain, but I could see it end up being more frozen precip than rain. A degree or two can make all the difference, as well as where exactly you are located when it comes to Wake County.
  23. Brick Tamland
    All the models showing a high impact event for most of NC, Raleigh and to the west. Still have three days to go, though.
  24. Brick Tamland
    Looks very consistent. I count 17 or 18 that I would consider a big storm for me.
  25. Brick Tamland
    Sure is nice to see the totals today actually be consistent or increase on most of the model runs instead of the other way around. Looks like most have anywhere from 6 to 12 inches across Wake.
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