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Brick Tamland

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Everything posted by Brick Tamland

  1. All the ensembles I have seen show Wake getting a big storm.
  2. They would take the same approach no matter what.
  3. I'd put 3 to 6 in the 1 to 3 and 6 to 10 in the 3 to 5 to be on the safe side
  4. I'll take any of the models. Most appear to have 6 to 12 inches of snow for me. Heck, I'd take about 4 inches of snow and some ice mixed in, too.
  5. That area they have circled looks too conservative to me. I think at least 4 to 6 of snow with ice on top.
  6. I think we could get 6 to 8 of snow with some ice on top.
  7. If the FV3 got this right, the totals will be huge. It has been very consistent.
  8. The model runs continue to look fantastic. Great to see them stay consistent or get even better the closer we get.
  9. I just don't. Why do you think it will be?
  10. I don't think the warming aloft will be as bad as you think. I think we will get a good thump of snow like Allan said, 4 to 6 inches, before getting some ice on top of it.
  11. Euro and FV3 have both been very consistent with their outputs the last two days.
  12. Great, the other mod comes in and deletes my comment that was on topic just as much as others. Guess some things never change.
  13. So really this is coming down to the globals vs. the NAM. But even the NAM looked better last run.
  14. The globals are not backing down at all.
  15. I would gladly take 3 to 5 inches with the first storm threat of the season.
  16. So, either that much freezing rain, 8 inches of snow, or 4 inches of snow and .40 of freezing rain is going to be a big deal.
  17. Even if it isn't all snow, that is still a big storm regardless with snow and ice mix.
  18. At least now they are saying a big storm could be a possibility instead of 1 to 2 inches.
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