SENC

My current Dew point is @ 31F..

that's just,, cruel, frozen sweat, I mean sleet, Sweating frozen sleet & Swearing,,, I mean sleet, (YOU know what I mean!).. While crying ice cubes! Lets have another one..

Even I got snow that run..

GFS out too 72

Critical thickness out to Hour 84..

NAM (freezing precip).. Out to hour 84

freezing rain profile.. out to 57, ,, I'm just trying help ya'll folks out here.. Honestly.. use these in addition to the Maps posted above..

Namnest out to 12Z (60hours)..

I HOPE the above Images give folks some Hope, I assume this is the "onset" of the Storm.. 72 Hours out.. I tried to get All the Relevant Images..

next 3

This will be a 2-part post Image heavy.. I hope thishelps.. 18Z GFSFV# run(ing).. Says 84% complete) I took it out to Hour 72 in all images..

So are we "Mostly" in agreement yet?.. Some need Sleds & Ski's .. While others, (South & East of the I-85) Will need either Life jackets, or a Ice-breaker, type of Noah's Ark for the upcoming event? @Orangeburgwx & I will need Life-Jackets AND A ARK.. Let me know If I need to pick you up "buddy", @Orangeburgwx, I'm prepared to go "goose" hunting.. I'll swing by & pick ya up in this..

I forgot the /SARC tag..

I read the Whole Blog.. Nice thinking Outside the Box, considering the "upstream" ramifactions on Our Local Weather.. Thoughts on this @griteater??

you need a Oculus Rift!

Maybe We can get a "BOMB-O-Genies" (Rubs Magic Lamp) yet still.. Me and @Orangeburgwx are "hopeful"..

Well this time around there will be Lotsa QPF to break ya'lls fall!

Thanks for this @Wow, shows quite a bit of "variables" in these Forecast(s),, Quite a complex System.. Lotsa "players" on the Field ATM.. Realistically, anything is still on the Table at "Gametime" ,, Will this be a "Run out the Clock" to the Last Moment in the "End-Zone"?? 4th & Goal w/ .01 on the clock? While down by 2 points? Until We see the LP position sets-up/transitions in the Gulf, or around New Orleans, into Florida, Anything is still quite possible? Including "Bomb-O-Genesis" Off the SE Coast A-la Jan 3~4 2018? (Yes; fantasy) I know but still,, it could somewhat be on the Table if the LP gets further south? Say off Jacksonville to Daytona Beach? Asking for a "friend"..

Looks "somewhat" better for Me & @orangeburgwx , on the backside, We "might" see "something"..

@Orangeburgwx, We have a 1 in 10 "chance"..

12Z GFSFV3 (Maps) Hours 24 hour(s) accumulation precip vs AT Hour 75 forecast (Hope this helps)..

He, (Wow),, said it not I mean again,, NOT *I* ,, did you hear this? @Orangeburgwx & @tramadoc??? (Not too raise our hopes or anything.. ).. but that's really, saying something.. when the MOD mentions this.. wasn't 89 a El Nina year? (edit for correction)

MORRRRRR SOUTH @downeastnc 125 miles!

Dear @SantaClause ,, Can I , (and some of Us southern folks), get a 75~125 mile shift SOUTH by SouthWest with the LP? We not asking for much..

Regarding "Our" upcoming "Storm".. For those interested, like @tramadoc, this "storm very well could put WILM over 100" of precip for the year.. Looking for "backside Flurries" @Orangeburgwx for us, No accumulations then back to the 50's & 60"s.. (UNLESS).. MOR Suppression! KILM NWS AFD for those interested, this Disco could "help" with Forecasts upstate.. Storm system will affect the local area this weekend with a potential for periods of moderate to heavy rain Saturday through Sunday, and lingering through Monday. Right now we are looking for 2 to 3 inches total over the weekend, bringing our rainfall total only couple of inches shy of breaking the 100 inch mark for Wilm. High pressure will build down into the Carolinas from the north as potent low pressure system tracks across the Gulf Coast this weekend. Winds will increase through the low levels on Saturday, leading to increasing isentropic lift heading through the weekend with rain spreading northward into the Carolinas on Sat. Expect periods of potentially moderate to heavier rain Sat night into sun as the low lifts up along the southeast coast. Any mixed pcp should remain farther west and north in the cooler air through the weekend. The current track tracks the low right up along the southeast, remaining just offshore, bringing the center just off the Cape Fear coast Sun night. As it lifts off to the northeast Mon night, shortwave energy will dig down clouds and pcp will wrap around the back end of the system as it lifts off to the northeast Mon night. This will coincide with decent cold air advection and temps should be borderline mainly west of I-95 for some mixed pcp. Therefore some flurries or snow showers are not out of the question overnight Mon. Temps will be moderated by clouds and pcp through much of the period with overnight lows generally in the mid 30s to around 40 and day time highs in the 50s. The sharpest temp gradient should occur Sunday as the low tracks up the coast pulling shallow cool air down from the north inland and pushing warmer and moister air onto the coast. Temps may not reach past the 40s west of I-95 on sun, with temps closer to 60 along the coast. Clearing should occur through tues in deep cool and dry northerly flow on the back end of system. That said & posted, I wish all the Upstate Folks the Best of Luck, Post a lot of Pictures!