Bryan63
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Everything posted by Bryan63
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I know it doesn't matter, but genuinely curious where Google pulls it's weather forecast from and how much confusion it causes the average person.
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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 1228 PM EST Fri Jan 23 2026 CTZ002>004-MAZ002>022-026-RIZ001>007-241200- /O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0001.260125T1200Z-260127T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.WS.W.0001.260125T1200Z-260127T0100Z/ Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA- Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA- Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI- Washington RI-Newport RI- Including the cities of Coventry, Ayer, Bristol, West Greenwich, Warwick, Blandford, Newport, Springfield, Milford, Smithfield, Willimantic, Lawrence, Greenfield, Mattapoisett, East Greenwich, Plymouth, Union, New Bedford, Chesterfield, Provincetown, Putnam, Foxborough, Vernon, Northampton, Windsor Locks, Brockton, Falmouth, Westerly, Fitchburg, Quincy, Fall River, Orange, Barre, Framingham, West Warwick, Cambridge, Taunton, Charlemont, Gloucester, Chatham, Hartford, Worcester, Narragansett, Lowell, Norwood, Providence, Boston, Foster, and Amherst 1228 PM EST Fri Jan 23 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 8 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 12 and 17 inches. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...Much of Southern New England excluding Martha`s Vineyard, Nantucket and Block Island. * WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 8 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult to impossible, especially if traveling overnight into the Monday morning commute. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.
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Man that is a great look. Obviously it looks like everyone is going to get in on this, but really liking my spot at the moment. Mentioned it before, my son turns 7 in April and last weekends 6" was the most he's ever seen in one snowfall. Trying to get him to be as much of a weenie as me so he's been going around the house with the tape measure seeing what 10-15" compares to
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Not sure the thoughts on kevin lemanowicz here, but just alluded to possibly needing to increase totals for Eastern areas based on tonights model runs.
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This last storm of about 6" was the most my almost 7 yr old has seen in one storm. Don't think he can fathom some of the numbers we are possibly looking at for this weekend.
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For what it's worth, I had a 7am flight out of Logan Monday and Delta strongly suggested finding alternative times. Granted I was flying to Memphis, connecting at LaGuardia so the whole route is impacted by this. Happily scrapped my work trip so I can stay home for this.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Bryan63 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
WPC Forecast Model guidance generally remains in good agreement with the aforementioned large scale pattern evolution, however differences in the details persist. The most notable question deals with how much interaction we see between the southern stream and northern stream energy over the Plains, and the overall depth/strength of the resultant trough. More interaction and a stronger trough would likely result in stronger downstream ridging and thus a farther north storm track. This is indeed what just about all the 00z models are trending towards. Generally a clean sweep, with the deterministic physics based models, ensemble means, and AI guidance all shifting north with the storm track. This trend really has little to no impact on the fact that a widespread and significant winter storm is going to occur...but it does play a big factor in exactly where the rain/ice/snow lines set up. So how confident are we in this trend, and will it continue or revert back to earlier runs, is the big question. Given the nearly unanimous trend in this direction, and at least a couple model runs in a row showing such a trend, it does seem like this shift has some merit. However, overall run to run consistency has shown pretty large swings with the exact handling of both the southern and northern stream energy. Suspect that the exact details of these features is far from settled upon...especially the northern stream energy which is currently strung out across much of western Canada into the arctic. Thus tend to think that the unanimous model trend could be a slight mirage and suggests more confidence in a solution than there actually is at this point. Either way, it should be stressed that in just about every outcome we get a widespread and major winter storm with many areas getting significant impacts regardless of these exact details. These details are, however, important for exactly where the maximum snow and ice totals occur. The current WPC QPF and temperatures were derived before much of this 00z guidance was available, and thus is a bit south of the new consensus. As described above, no guarantee we don't see a shift back south in later models...but assuming some persistence in the 06z/12z models then the WPC update today would likely shift north to at least some extent.. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Bryan63 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Between chances here, and how things are shaping up in the Midwest, my work trip I really don't want to go on Monday morning is looking increasingly unlikely. Lets get this thing across the finish line. -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Bryan63 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Some nice steady snow again just fluffing things up -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Bryan63 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Bryan63 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Absolute winter wonderland, everything covered, branches and lines hanging low. Holiday with no school or work to rush off to, just awesome stuff. -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Bryan63 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
This has been more than I expected, definitely the most snow we've gotten since moving back to Mass. -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Bryan63 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Best part of this wet pasty snow is how it sticks to everything. Like a snow globe outside.
