Chicago Storm

+DS 1/4SM G60MPH at MDW.

and then they go with a tornado watch, which is comical.

only watch possible?

Yes, it hit at least 93.

Yep. That’s a game changer right there. Large hail/wind threat looks tops today. Tor threat is still pretty low, as spreads are too high around here. This isn’t Colorado…. 92/65 isn’t gonna cut it. But, now that I said that…

edit your original post to change the title.

To add the the above, if the Euro, which is sort of alone in with the idea right now, has any clue... Things could be more interesting southward. Check out the significant dry line/bulge it depicts pressing across N and C IL. If frontal convergence can tighten up a bit more, and if that scenario were to be more realistic and gain support, then...

But, it really doesn't check more boxes, in a way. Capping, lack of frontal convergence (roughly south of the IL/WI border latitude), and the fact that the best dynamics are lifting further north into the Midwest/Western Great Lakes, are all significant concerns. The SPC overlooked concerns with that previous event and went with a balls to the wall approach...and failed. There is zero reason to do that once again this time across areas that are clearly more conditional. Highest coverage of activity will most definitely be across MN/NE IA/WI, though I think quality will be a bit more in question there. South of there, it's really too conditional overall. S Wisconsin may have the greatest shot of the most interesting activity, as there may be a more optimal overlap of everything there. South of there, sure, the environment is great across IL, but the three aforementioned issues will be problematic.

or it could be just because it just doesn’t look all that great and they actually realize it this time.

might get 49’d on the 22nd.

you new to spring in chicago?

canceled. re-instated.

i troll spartman, and then guidance flips. i see how it is...

sucks 2 b u.

another nice month on tap.