ldub23

Radar showing a last  band  forming to my west. Since whatever snow falls will do so after dark maybe another car topper.

Happens every time  here. The  band goes west and stays together and the  part that  goes  over  me dries  up.

Light  snow  in Newport News. Car topper.

1 minute ago, Rhino16 said:

Why do heavier snow rates keep the air cold? Does cold air just get pulled down with the precipitation?

Did the rain take a huge punch to the snowpack? Monday’s interesting for down there, hoping for the best for you then.

To some extent heavy snow pulls down cold air but when the warm air aloft comes rates cant  overcome  it. We didnt have a snowpack. We  got  2 inches but that was  just about  gone. Waiting for  monday now.

Yall might  get  more than DC

Just now, eaglesin2011 said:

Has it turned over there?

Sadly, yes. Rain now. It started around 630 and  lasted till 9am. The gfs stalls the  low for awhile offshore mon/tues. Good  chance we get more then.

About an inch in Newport News. Waiting for  more mon night tues am

NP. Maybe  it will be a season with 1996 like tracks.

Seems  like the dry slot and warm nose always goes further  north and west than expected. Alot  of TWC reporters not  in snow.

Snow droughts always end with a  bang so DC  looks to get  12-16

A few  mangled wet  flakes  in newport  news.

JB was going for a warm winter with below  normal snow but then he got  more bullish.

BWI:  23.3
DCA: 19.6
IAD:28.3
RIC: 14.8

sby 16.0

This UKW is the strongest yet of this La Niña event due to a persistent series of strong EWBs that has been observed during the last few weeks. The arrival of this UKW to the east eq. Pacific should push ENSO solidly into moderate-strong La Niña territory through winter 2020-21. pic.twitter.com/1tVRZdk0DL
-- Tyler Stanfield (@TylerJStanfield) October 22, 2020

On 9/28/2020 at 1:11 PM, the ghost of leroy said:

Yup. Just total trash. 

Models are really cool now  on anything  of  interest developing.

GFS now showing  nothing. Looks  like we  have  indeed ended the season very  early. ACE per storm not at all impressive this season.

If that stays over water awhile it  might  develop.

Very  ominous when the  Euro and gfs agree

No US landfalls? I guess you arent  counting the  18Z GFS with a  major over the  US virgin islands and a  building  positive  NAO which means  if that  monster  is still there  in 8 days  it  aint OTS.

1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said:

This season is such a low energy bust. There's not even been a decent fish storm with nice satellite presentation.

Just goes to show seasonal forecasting  has a  long way to go. I was reading the  NHC  disco on little  paul and they mentioned how "Parched" the atmosphere  is. everything  is  parched and sheared even though the east  pac  continues to cool. I still think sept20-oct  10 might  offer something  interesting but  i also think oct 10 is about the end  of the season.

18Z continues the pattern of every  other run being  more active. The weak storm at  12z in the se carib is  now a monster east  of  the virgin islands, and  paulette which had dissipated at  12 z gets trapped north of  bermuda.

Notice  now paulas remains are nw  of  bermuda  instead  of  ne and the set  up for the ridge is for  it to be stronger. the  monster east  of  the  virgins needs to be watched

2 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:

If it were El Nino the Pac would be going crazy...I've been counseling patience the last few weeks but even I have to start wondering now...where are the stadiums (apart from Laura's last few hours)?

Im just saying the atlantic west  of  50 is  classic el nino. Even rene  looks dried  up though maybe as it turns north it will get stronger.

With satellites and  a generous  naming group of  forecasters 1926 might  have  had 35/20/12. Average  of  20 ace  per storm. 1893 as well. We are really  insulting 2005 in a  big way by making comparisons to this season.

Euro and GFS this afternoon both coming  back to the reality  of  2020. Alot  of  weak sauce with conditions rather  hostile. Might  not  get  my major well east  of  bermuda if there  is another  one. Now they both give  poor  paulette a  miserable sheared dry  death and  conditions look horrid west  of  50 and rather marginal east  of  50. West  of  50 thats a  picture you expect to see  in the  1982 or  83 or 94 or  87, or  72 season. Classic el nino look. Poor  Paulette  is  about to get the dry air/shear  combo. It already  has the dry  prunish look. And  given the  predictions  of  Hyper-diaper Super-Duper conditions this season this  isnt the  picture  i would expect to see  on sept 08.