ldub23

Just now, wake4est said:

Okayyyy

That  is certainly  faulty  in SE VA. 1-4 in norfolk and vab? no snow there at all.

I am quite skeptical of this  new  GFS. I would expect to see alot  of that snow not to occur in the east and se  parts  of the  snow  coverage shown on the  map. We will see. I certainly havent  been terribly  impressed with it  since  it was unveiled.

I cant  imagine much if anything for  se va, including richmond. It seems we will be  on the northern extent  of the  precip and i doubt  it will precip hard enough to be snow.

2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Don't blame the model, blame the algorithm on that site.  Sometimes I think we'd be better without snow maps altogether. The micro details they present distract from big picture trends. 

Im in se va and there is  no way im getting  6-10 inches. All rain here.

3 hours ago, BornAgain13 said:

FV3 GFS brings the Hammer!! Wow!!

 

 

I think the FV3 needs alot  of work. I wouldnt  count  on that considering it seems much worse than the regular GFS.

Friday could be very similar to 1998 Bonnie here.

Its  just  odd that they arent seeing what TWC is seeing

Just checked Wakefield and they are  only saying a few snow showers are  possible in NE forecast area Tues.

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Low confidence forecast beyond Monday as 12z/11 suite of models
are having a difficult time in resolving differences wrt
handling of a strong upper trough/closed low digging across the
Great Lakes/Northeast next week. Will lean toward a blend of the
12z GFS/GEFS/CMC which all seem to be in reasonable agreement
with the aforementioned trough/closed low pivoting SE to a
centralized position over Lake Erie by 12z Tues. From there,
this feature slowly lifts NE into New England by 12z Thurs. In
doing so, it will force a cold front through the local area on
Tues with high pressure returning next Wed/Thu. What remains to
be seen as whether or not the front produces any pcpn as it
passes on Tues, as it would probably be cold enough aloft to
generate some snow showers (at least NE of the I-64 corridor).
Have placed some low PoPs in these areas. Otherwise, next week
is looking dry and chilly. Highs Monday from the mid 30s N to
low 40s S. Highs Tuesday from the mid 30s N to the mid 40s
south. Highs next Wed/Thu in the 30s. Lows through the period
primarily in the teens and 20s.

Thats from the afternoon disco

Hope the temps start dropping.

1 hour ago, EverythingisEverything said:

Just watched Jeremy Wheeler on Wavy TV 10, he ran their in house model and said well it basically took the snow away after a brief mix, but said he doesn't think it's right.  He seemed unsure of the forecast but went ultimately with 2 to 4 for SEVA with mixing in the beginning.  

Yea, looked  pretty  pathetic here with nothing just west  of the  coast. He also showed gfs and euro accumulations and they werent  much either. I guess he just decided to assume NWS was right to issue a watch.

No need for  complaints. Many people in the SE have already  had more snow than normal for winter.