Blue Ridge

Possible TOG west of Hackleburg, AL. Tight couplet with a what may well be a small debris ball. It's been over an unwarned area but is now moving into a preexisting polygon. Weird situation. Ninja edit: looks like HUN had a beat on that cell and issued a warning well in advance for a border county. Looks like it produced while in BMX territory and was not warned.

Brownstown storm...

PDS warning for Lawrence & Jackson, IN...

Wall cloud reported in Monroe County, MS... New warning for Central Tishomingo County in northeastern MS as well.

Has anyone else noticed that MEG's wording is a bit...confusing? It reads like a TOG situation but as far as I can tell that isn't the case.

Sharing this post from the OV thread. Horizontal vortices are often an ominous sign on such a day.

Pour one out for @nrgjeff and the Jayhawks. "The Streak" ended with a whimper as Kansas was drubbed by yet another bubblicious Lon Kruger OU team. Credit where it's due - Self has done a great job after losing Azubuike to injury, Vick to a personal matter, De Sousa to the feds, and Grimes, a McDonald's All American, to the freshman yips.

It's lol-worthy at this point.

That's...not good.

That might be the strangest system I've seen the GFS spit out within 168 hrs in a long time. It's basically a 12-18 hour burst of moderate to heavy snow from a strange setup: 132: over ATL; 1050 mb H at the Montana/Alberta/Saskatchewan border 138: over CAE; 1052 mb H just SE of previous position 144: now approx. 100 mi south, near HHI; 1052 mb H in same position 150: off Hatteras, 1004 mb.

40+ MPH gusts yesterday in the wake of our weekend system appears to have caused a bit of damage to my roof. More from IMBY: 9.37" February total, ALL of which has fallen in the past 17 days. I doubt the rain arrives soon enough to push me over a 10" monthly total by Thursday, but we shall see.

Yikes. Not a good look at all. @tnweathernut, I agree and raise you the following: he should not be assigned to any game with conference title implications henceforth. That should include front-runners LSU, Kentucky, and Tennessee, and both Ole Miss and USCe, who are three games behind but not yet eliminated. Hell, throw Florida and Clanga in there for good measure as well. Tennessee fans are entitled to being upset and would hold that right regardless of foul discrepancy or outcome.

Yeah, no. Doesn’t work like that, buddy. I experienced the same issue as @Windspeed. A similar issue was previously noted on AmWx some time ago. Sometimes it’s the result of malicious script injected w/o the webmaster’s knowledge; other times, an ad can be the culprit. Perhaps don’t be quite so abrasive in the future.

Darwinism at work... In other news, we took a long drive around rural Washington and Greene Counties. Limestone Creek is doing a number on north and west sections of Washington Co. I’ll post pics in a bit.

Noticed the same thing earlier wrt FFWs. In fact, Knox Co does not show a FFW despite the PDS Warning in place.

If anything, this may have just a bit of wiggle room to move slightly north and still train directly over Knoxville proper. TYS is going to be oh so close.

The train is arriving, and I’ll let the storm tracks tell the story. Stay safe, Knoxville friends.

It's going to be a photo finish. Storm tracks on KOHX are also showing slightly more ENE than NE. Watch the training cells move just south of McMinnville. From a hobbyist standpoint, this is fascinating to watch. Meanwhile, the stream in my front yard is slowly beginning to grow into a pond.

Easy, dude. @janetjanet998 has been instrumental in flood coverage since this risk first presented itself. Also, we don't "stick to areas" here. The warning you referred to is an areal flood warning. Not the same as a Flash Flood Warning, and certainly not given the same priority. FFWs trigger EAS.

Two notes, FWIW. 1) There appears to be westerly forcing pushing some of the training cells in middle TN more eastward. This is visible on KHTX. Watch the push around the 50nmi band. Pure conjecture without the aid of a sounding: flow aloft may be more from the west than south, pushing the higher-topped convection east while flow in the lower levels pushes more north. Just a thought. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=HTX-N0Q-0-6 2) Not sure I see much opportunity for clearing across the moderate risk area. That said, that's some nice convection moving into the Arklatex... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=regional-southeast-truecolor-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

Can't say I've seen an area go from no FFW to a PDS Flash Flood Emergency in one fell swoop.

...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR KNOXVILLE TENNESSEE AND GREATER KNOX COUNTY... The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Knox County in east Tennessee... * Until 130 PM EST. * At 1036 AM EST, emergency management reported heavy rain across the warned area. Up to 3 inches of rain have already fallen over the last 3 to 4 hours with an additional 1 to 2 inches possible over the next 2 hours. Flash flooding is already occurring. This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for Knoxville. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW!

After missing out on all but drizzle yesterday, I woke up to 1.63" and a rushing stream in my front yard. I don't so much as have a ditch line.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 346 PM EST WED FEB 20 2019 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0700 AM NON-TSTM WND GST COVE MOUNTAIN 35.71N 83.59W 02/20/2019 M87 MPH SEVIER TN MESONET 0630 AM NON-TSTM WND GST CAMP CREEK 36.09N 82.77W 02/20/2019 M81 MPH GREENE TN MESONET CORRECTS PREVIOUS NON-TSTM WND GST REPORT FROM CAMP CREEK. MEASURED GUST AT THE NOAA/ATDD TOWER. EARLIER REPORTED GUST WAS ERRONEOUS. AFTER QUALITY CONTROL OF THE RAW DATA 81 MPH WAS CONFIRMED TO BE THE CORRECT WIND SPEED. 0659 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SE CEDAR CREEK 35.98N 82.84W 02/20/2019 M51 MPH GREENE TN MESONET MESONET STATION PGVT1, NOLICHUCKY (4 SE CEDAR CREEK). 0327 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SE SIGNAL MOUNTAIN 35.12N 85.33W 02/20/2019 M49 MPH HAMILTON TN MESONET MESONET STATION C9567, SIGNAL MOUNTAIN. 1000 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WSW ROAN MOUNTAIN 36.17N 82.15W 02/20/2019 M47 MPH CARTER TN MESONET MESONET STATION D5724, 4 WSW ROAN MOUNTAIN. 0106 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 SE POWELLS CROSSROADS 35.13N 85.43W 02/20/2019 M43 MPH MARION TN MESONET MESONET STATION PCFT1, PRENTICE COOPER SF. 0905 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WNW UNICOI 36.20N 82.37W 02/20/2019 M43 MPH UNICOI TN MESONET MESONET STATION UNIT1, WATAUGA (1 WNW UNICOI).

Just hit ~110 again. I believe it may be legit. If so, that's incredible.