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Blue Ridge

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Everything posted by Blue Ridge

  1. Blue Ridge
    Nearly identical scene down here, albeit with somehow less sleet.
  2. Blue Ridge
    80/20 ZR/IP just south of Downtown Holly Springs
  3. Blue Ridge
    Came back to check on y’all because misery loves company. And because the NAM clowns spat out a fair amount of ZR across East TN. Can’t even visit family at home to escape the ice for this one!
  4. Blue Ridge
    Anxious to see a breakdown of what this run actually shows. The surface presentation is an unholy cluster-**** mess.
  5. Blue Ridge
    I’m happy to have a red tag validate a feeling I’ve long had but never really expressed. (In my day, hating the NAM was cool - but then the hipsters co-opted the movement.) Is there an explanation for its strange precip outputs?
  6. Blue Ridge
    With Duke electric, a generator is a good idea regardless of forecast! (Am I a true North Carolinian yet?)
  7. Blue Ridge
    And likely snow to a lot of ice for Central NC, given surface temps.
  8. Blue Ridge
    Surface temps in the Triangle aren’t going above freezing for some time with that look.
  9. Blue Ridge
    I finally move to the area only to find Widre has gone missing. Fml
  10. Blue Ridge
    Nice little reverse jinx. Good looking out, MRX! I do find it peculiar to drop the WWA in areas that have already seen snow. Criteria is so low, I would imagine leaving in place would be beneficial to cover potential road hazards at minimum.
  11. Blue Ridge
    45°F on the nose with steady light rain. Perfect fall day.
  12. Blue Ridge
    Wound up with 5.5" total for the event. Still plenty on the ground today. We'll see if we overshoot forecasted lows tonight.
  13. Blue Ridge
    Yo [mention]Stovepipe [/mention], I’m seeing a lot of chatter on r/Knoxville about power outages. What’s up? Surely that happened during gusty winds earlier and isn’t directly related to snowfall? .
  14. Blue Ridge
    Someone earlier was asking about potential interaction between mesoscale showers and synoptic band. This loop from Jackson, KY, shows that interaction pretty well, I think. https://i.imgur.com/ygQwq30.gifv
  15. Blue Ridge
    Closing in on 5” here. Lighter band now, but much smaller flakes. .
  16. Blue Ridge
    Classic MRX now-casting woes. .
  17. Blue Ridge
    Just switched to nickel-size flakes. Timed out almost perfectly with CC transition line on radar.
  18. Blue Ridge
    Chasing down the 45+ DBZ returns overhead. Unreal.
  19. Blue Ridge
    Arctic front has arrived. Worst wind of the whole event just mixed down. I just watched a rocking chair take a ride across my patio. Edit: check out the waves visible in the velocity product!
  20. Blue Ridge
    Damn near SSE at it’s current trajectory.
  21. Blue Ridge
    Watching this cold advance in real-time through the Plateau will be interesting.
  22. Blue Ridge
    A note for all trying to predict MRX’s next move: The overnight AFD and update package usually hits around 0300. As with the afternoon suite, this is sometimes delayed during active weather. Highly unlikely we see any alteration to the warning/advisory package until then.
  23. Blue Ridge
    From https://www.weather.gov/mrx/watchwarnadv:
  24. Blue Ridge
    Santa came early... Edit to add: Map hasn't yet updated. Looks like they upgraded watch to warning and SPS to WWA except the furthest SW counties (incl. Hamilton). Edit 2: To recap: WSW for 2-4", locally higher depending on elevation; WWA for 1-3"; SPS remains for minimal accumulations and hazardous travel. Edit 3: Map just updated.
  25. Blue Ridge
    Adding to this for those unfamiliar or new: MRX generally issues its afternoon AFD, advisory/warning products, and forecast updates around 3:00 pm. For storms such as this, they do have a tendency to push a bit (I've seen as late as 4:00 pm).
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