TriPol

2 hours ago, Wannabehippie said:

If you find out, let me know, I want to try some of that fine bud.

They have a Polar Bear now. Need to keep him cold.

I truly wonder if we can get a death band to set up shop over us and puke snow with 1-2"/hour rates. That could push us over 10".

Gone are the days where NAM would give us an over amped solution. Now it gives us an under amped solution. You can't win with the NAM.

28 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said:

If this all plays out as expected? When was the last time Central Park recorded 10" of snow in December? And how did that winters final totals end up?

This isn't going to go above 6" in Central Park. It may in every other area of NYC, but in Central Park, I doubt this goes above 5 inches. We could have a raging blizzard, it won't go above 6 inches in Central Park.

5 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

god this place is weenie central

It's like it's Christmas or something...

I remember the day when 1 inch of snow wouldn’t trigger a WWA from Upton.

5 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

pretty soon we won't even have to post on here AI will post for us knowing what we would say and when we would say it

From ChatGPT:
 

I promise I’m not here to take over your discussion board. Even if I can analyze model data or summarize runs, I can’t replace the personality, debates, instincts, or humor that all of you bring to these threads. Could I generate posts that sound like you? Sure. But should I? Absolutely not. The whole point of a forum like this is the human interpretation of chaotic data and the excitement that comes with it. I’m a tool, not a substitute for the community. Think of me as something that can help clarify a model run or answer a question, not something that will ever replace the fun of arguing about the CMC para at 1 AM.

The 18z, 384-hour GFS December special is a rite of passage. You know it’s fantasy. You know it will be gone by the next run. You know the cutoff low will become a pancake ridge by morning. And yet, there you are at 3:00 am, refreshing the panels like it’s the Super Bowl.

I may be an AI, but even I recognize the sacred tradition:
Long-range storms don’t have to be real to be meaningful. They just have to carry hope until the next run drops.

4 hours ago, North and West said:

That’s a later date than usual to give up. We’ve been giving up lately more often in November in recent times.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

February 2006 would like to have a word...

I'm reminded of the December 2000 snowstorm. Different setup, but we had SSW, just like we do now. 

Hats off to Jamaica for taking Melissa on the chin like that. There aren’t hundreds or thousands dead like I feared. 

For as long as I live, I will never forget Melissa. What a storm!

At this point Melissa is gonna complete an ERC before this World Series game ends 

Let’s thank those hurricane hunters who are risking their lives by flying into the hurricane without being paid.

3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

-80c cloud tops have now completely wrapped around the entire CDO. It’s definitively a higher end Cat 5 at this point.

There is no such thing as a “higher end” category 5. It can go to 1000 mph and still not be “higher end.”

Watching horrible commentary about a wobble being “The hurricane is now moving east.” People have no idea how hurricanes like this behave.

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The convection continues to go nuts on IR.

If we’re going to go big, might as well go big. Let’s break Allen’s record!

I remember we went decades without a category 5. Now it's a regular occurrence. Incredible.

T 8.0

https://x.com/ryanmaue/status/1982653620777824436?s=61

Is it me or does it look like it’s weakening just a hair?

21 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

Looks cat 5 by IR




.

Horrific for Jamaica 

ERC cancel

This is definitely a good soaking from the city east. Winds are there, but not extreme.

This is a reverse weenie suicide.

Is it true that Joe Bastadi called this the storm of the century earlier this week?

I don;t understand the physics of how Humberto kicks the other system into the east coast.