TriPol

19 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

i think you should make the thread the storm signal is as good as it could be whether it'll be rain or snow is yet to be determined!

We shall see what the 12z model suite has in store for us. Alternatively, I've never seen donsutherland1 start a thread before. Would love to see him start one.

1 minute ago, NEG NAO said:

its still up in the air so to say exactly when the storm will develop and reach here could be anywhere from 2/21 to 2/24

If 12z GFS and 12z EURO is on board... I reserve the right to respond. We need a good coastal bomb to close out this winter. 

22 minutes ago, LVblizzard said:

Why are we even talking about starting a thread for a storm chance a week away? There is nowhere near enough agreement with the models to warrant one. This could easily turn into an apps runner by tomorrow or Wednesday.

It's Monday. Storm moves in on Saturday. We have 24 model run cycles left. Someone should definitely start a thread by Wednesday at the latest.

3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Icon is a massive blizzard for sunday and Monday 

Tempted to start a thread...

10 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

I stay!

Congrats kid. Good work on deleting your 2-4 inch post.

4 minutes ago, ag3 said:

NYC: 1.1”

LGA: 1.0”

JFK: 1.4”

ISP: 1.8”

EWR: .9”

BDR: .2”

Can you send me a link with the totals? I'm not seeing the totals anywhere.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=txt&version=1&glossary=0

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KNYC

 

8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

how much around the city?

The Park likely got half an inch.

1 hour ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

not much here in White Plains a small dusting but I am hoping Central Park gets an inch so i don't have to self exclude myself for another two weeks!

it's snowed a hell of a lot more than I thought it would. Congrats on your half inch so far.

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

How do you figure?

The models are showing snow falling. Not accumulating. I don't know that it makes it down to 32 tonight in NYC. Maybe it does. But what is the timing? How much time between when the snow starts falling and us getting to 32 is there? An hour? Two? 

Maybe an inch and a half falls. But I doubt CPK measures anything above half an inch.

41 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

1-3 inches is my call 1.5 for central park

You're about 1.4 inches too high.

For one winter, I want to live in Copenhagen, NY where they get around 300 inches of snow per year so I don't have to be up at 3:20 in the bloody morning chasing a g*ddamn inch of snow while half drunk. Never tell your significant other she would look better in the pink dress because the purple on makes her look like an eggplant. 

Just now, steve392 said:

We need to go out with a bang.  We're off from raining at new job.  Gotta get that big one! 

I think with the SSW warming, something's gonna happen in late Feb, early March.

4 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

We're one day short of a new moon on Sunday night (only 3.8% illuminated.)  Let's see what you can do with that wise guy.

3.8% is enough to melt all the snow on the ground. 

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

It happens at night lol

Moon angle. The moon reflects the sun's light. 

NYC will not see an inch out of this storm. That's my forecast.

3 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Its February.  Whats up with this too warm to stick nonsense?

Sun angle and also it's 40 degrees.

IF this comes back north, and that's a big if, it's going to be too warm for anything to stick.

43 minutes ago, hooralph said:

What is happening 

WeatherGeek came back and now we're getting a blizzard.

Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said:

GFS, Euro AI (best computer model in the world) and Icon

If the thread is re-opened, and it doesn’t snow an inch or more in NYC Sunday - Monday, you have to leave for a month.

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

What ? Every model is coming north .

What does the NAM show?

8 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

can we get the thread back John?

Because of one model that’s rarely right? Dude.. come on. 

17 hours ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

I am back guys and i made a thread for Presidents' day storm potential

 

 

Of course you did.

Dr. No says no again. 

3 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

March 2018 would like a word. 

The problem with this is we’re relying on a very fragile setup that could easily fall apart at this lead time and cold air is lacking. We need a dynamic system to create the cold air essentially and a favorable track. 

So would PDI and PDII.