TriPol

1 hour ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

not much here in White Plains a small dusting but I am hoping Central Park gets an inch so i don't have to self exclude myself for another two weeks!

it's snowed a hell of a lot more than I thought it would. Congrats on your half inch so far.

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

How do you figure?

The models are showing snow falling. Not accumulating. I don't know that it makes it down to 32 tonight in NYC. Maybe it does. But what is the timing? How much time between when the snow starts falling and us getting to 32 is there? An hour? Two? 

Maybe an inch and a half falls. But I doubt CPK measures anything above half an inch.

41 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

1-3 inches is my call 1.5 for central park

You're about 1.4 inches too high.

For one winter, I want to live in Copenhagen, NY where they get around 300 inches of snow per year so I don't have to be up at 3:20 in the bloody morning chasing a g*ddamn inch of snow while half drunk. Never tell your significant other she would look better in the pink dress because the purple on makes her look like an eggplant. 

Just now, steve392 said:

We need to go out with a bang.  We're off from raining at new job.  Gotta get that big one! 

I think with the SSW warming, something's gonna happen in late Feb, early March.

4 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

We're one day short of a new moon on Sunday night (only 3.8% illuminated.)  Let's see what you can do with that wise guy.

3.8% is enough to melt all the snow on the ground. 

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

It happens at night lol

Moon angle. The moon reflects the sun's light. 

NYC will not see an inch out of this storm. That's my forecast.

3 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Its February.  Whats up with this too warm to stick nonsense?

Sun angle and also it's 40 degrees.

IF this comes back north, and that's a big if, it's going to be too warm for anything to stick.

43 minutes ago, hooralph said:

What is happening 

WeatherGeek came back and now we're getting a blizzard.

Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said:

GFS, Euro AI (best computer model in the world) and Icon

If the thread is re-opened, and it doesn’t snow an inch or more in NYC Sunday - Monday, you have to leave for a month.

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

What ? Every model is coming north .

What does the NAM show?

8 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

can we get the thread back John?

Because of one model that’s rarely right? Dude.. come on. 

17 hours ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

I am back guys and i made a thread for Presidents' day storm potential

 

 

Of course you did.

Dr. No says no again. 

3 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

March 2018 would like a word. 

The problem with this is we’re relying on a very fragile setup that could easily fall apart at this lead time and cold air is lacking. We need a dynamic system to create the cold air essentially and a favorable track. 

So would PDI and PDII.

PD Storm III. 

No one start a thread until Saturday.

27 minutes ago, bluewave said:

I am really happy we were able to sneak in the big benchmark system in late January. But we have reverted back to the dominant storm track pattern since 2018-2019. With the blizzard getting suppressed to our south, we have returned to the cutter, hugger, and suppressed Southern Stream storm tracks. 
 

 

Too far north for suppressed systems, too far south for coastal huggers, too far east for lake effect snow. I'm not sure what we're too far west for, but I'm sure it's something.

So is that it? Are we done with the arctic air for the winter? 

14 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

The temperature in Central Park has fallen to 8°. That is New York City's coldest temperature since February 4, 2023 when the mercury dipped all the way to 3°.

How low do you think we'll go? If we had zero wind, maybe we'd get to 0.

42 minutes ago, LoboLeader1 said:

Extreme Cold Watch

Issued: 1:03 PM Feb. 5, 2026 – National Weather Service

...EXTREME COLD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills of 20 below possible.

* WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey,
and southeast New York.

* WHEN...From Saturday evening through early Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...The cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed
skin in as little as 30 minutes.

Twenty below possible? That’s not a weather alert, that’s a medical thriller. Frostbite in thirty minutes means I’ll be counting to twenty nine and going back inside. Cancel all outdoor ambition. If anyone needs me, I’ll be wrapped in cashmere, monitoring my extremities like a NASA launch.

Dear weather gods:

Please don't give us another Valentines Day sleetstorm.

Max 18f ... Min -1f ... Snow : 1.3"

5 minutes ago, SHELEG said:

Care to explain?

Inverted trough.