TriPol

I would trust the Ukie/Euro/GEM over the GooFuS any day. GFS will come around 24 hours before the storm.

Well, it was nice knowing you all. BECS.

Confused. EURO shows all sleet for I-95 East. How are we picking up 15 inches of snow??

All those weenie suicides had better come back to life... that is, unless the EURO throws us a curveball! 

3 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

welp it was nice while it lasted here comes the nw trend.

You can't live and die by one model run brother.

Any word on the EURO?

1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

Too bad no Kuchera snow map here.

Keep in mind this includes whatever rain we get tomorrow. 

https://weathermadness.com/2019/01/18/kuchera-method-for-snow-amounts-seems-to-be-working-best/

12 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Still going for rain?

I feel bad for people in Montauk.

Just now, NJsnow89 said:

Eps took a step back it seems. 

I don't remember any weather model showing a perfect hit for our area a week out 100% of every model run. There will be shifts north, east, south, and west. We'll seem too warm, too wet, too cold. This is part of the fun.

Snow begets snow.

7 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Good. This is exactly where I want the GFS to be a week out.

Well, I'm putting us all officially on Yellow Alert for a snowstorm next week. I have no idea if that means anything.

Fun little storm to set the mood for the holidays. 

14 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

ehhh the two worst busts of all time!

But I feel like the Jan 2008 Heavy Snow Warning bust doesn't get mentioned enough either.  I think that was the last HWS we had?

 

Or that Valentines Day 2006 sleet storm.... what a horrible mess that was.

7 hours ago, bluewave said:

This is the first late November in a few years without any virtual snow showing up in the models. 
 

 

 

 

Agh. I nearly had a heart attack looking at those pictures. Then I saw "2019." That was a bigger let down than March 2001.

We haven't had a good snowstorm in early December in a long time. Wouldn't be a bad time to try again. I fondly remember the blizzards of 2000 and 2003. 

27 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Unlikely BUT not impossible

I'll take it.

6 hours ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, the 8-4-15 macroburst was one of our more impressive severe events for so early in the day.

https://www.weather.gov/okx/storm08042015

0502 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 WSW SOUTH SETAUKET    40.91N  73.12W
08/04/2015  E74 MPH          SUFFOLK            NY   MESONET         

            95 MPH GUST MEASURED ON ROOF OF STONY BROOK HEALTH 
            SCIENCES TOWER. 

You mean microburst?

Are we done? Is that it?

Anyone else seeing this?

That was fun! Can we do it again?

Tornado warning NYC

With the wind coming up off of the water, maybe a good chance of some water spouts!

At what point do they stop naming Greek letters and start naming next year's storms?

Can someone tell me what the cause was of the Siberian heatwave this year? I've never seen anything like it before.