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TriPol

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Everything posted by TriPol

  1. I award you the weenie ring for today.
  2. Not sure how you equate a storm forming to our south with a cutter??
  3. I know this is 06z and I haven't seen the 12z EURO yet... but holy cow.
  4. EURO AI is a swing and a miss. But we've got time. I would rather not be in the bullseye this far out.
  5. I've seen weaker hurricanes than this before. 963 is at least Cat 2.
  6. Survey says.... WRONG Central Park got nearly a foot of snow. I jinxed nothing.
  7. Too early to score GFS for the coup against all the other models...
  8. Imagine if this gets suppressed.
  9. Upton should have stuck to their guns instead of caving to the NAM.
  10. I love this group. After about a week of debate about if it will snow, sleet, or suppress... we get snow. The largest snow of the year. And so do we want to go outside, enjoy the snow, maybe build a snowman or a snow castle... we track the sleet line. Like it's a predator hunting us. You guys are great. I'll admit I was refreshing tropical tidbits and pivotal weather for the next frame on the EURO like a madman... but you guys got me beat.
  11. Good luck to everyone who has to commute home from this mess today.
  12. God bless computer models. I'm anxious to see the results. We'll know in 12 hours who was right and who was wrong.
  13. They even use the classic weather channel elevator music. I could fall asleep to this.
  14. Guys. It's snow. Come on. Let's stop arguing. If it snows, it snows. If it doesn't, it doesn't. Arguing about it won't change what actually happens. Either Noteast101 is right or he's wrong. I hope he's wrong. I hope we transfer over to a coastal and it blasts us. If it doesn't, it doesn't. The souffle will either rise or it won't. There's not a damn thing you can do about it.
  15. I don't think NYC gets away from this without a foot of snow. I don't think we ever changeover to completely 100% sleet or freezing rain. Could we get some? Of course. But we still get snow with it. That's just my uneducated guess. When it snows, it snows HARD. All we need is six hours of 2 inches per hour.
  16. New York City 13 Boston 20 Philadelphia 0 DC 7 Hartford 16 Albany 18
  17. Thankfully the wind isn't bad. Otherwise, this would be a lot less tolerable.
  18. The storm is scheduled to start around 5 am, I believe. Definitely almost 23 hours. I guess it depends on where you live, but we're definitely around 24 hours away.
  19. HRRR is being retired when the RRFS goes live. The goal is to unify and improve upon models like HRRR, HREF, and NAM with a single, advanced system.
  20. Yeah, the Rosebud bit is poetic in theory, but let's be real—by the time you're a 78-year-old superintendent, that 4 a.m. snow check is less "childlike wonder" and more "please don't make me explain another lawsuit to the board." The grounds guy says close, you close: it's not nostalgia, it's CYA (cover your ass) wrapped in boots and a flashlight. Still, in a world of endless model runs and liability spreadsheets, there's something grimly satisfying about one last decision boiled down to "looks bad out there."
  21. I wouldn't pay attention to the GFS inside of 24 hours. HRRR is my go to at this point, although I'm pretty giddy about the RRFS coming soon.
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