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BGM Blizzard

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Everything posted by BGM Blizzard

  1. BGM Blizzard
    Primary low is nearing Jamestown as of 6am/11z
  2. BGM Blizzard
    Must have flipped back and forth between sleet and snow as heavier precip rates came thru earlier this morning. Currently sleet and 22.3°. Have about 2.5" of snow/sleet mix on the ground.
  3. BGM Blizzard
    All sleet here now. Didn't even get an inch before the changeover. LOL! This radar is comical. Once again way off on the mix line. If we're lucky maybe we flip back to snow when that heavy band gets here but not counting on it.
  4. BGM Blizzard
    Mixing in Elmira already. Wouldn't think a weak primary in eastern KY would be able to get to Jamestown and beyond with this look but who knows.
  5. BGM Blizzard
    Will be surprised if Bgm keeps the WSW going with the overnight update save maybe Oneida County. Atleast with radar being down they can blame the bust on that and not being able to follow the mix line movement on the coefficient.
  6. BGM Blizzard
    Weak sauce and yet still shoving a warm layer up our arse.
  7. BGM Blizzard
    0z NAM is shit-tastic. But if I drew a forecast map, the 0z NAM is pretty damn close to how I see this storm playing out unfortunately.
  8. BGM Blizzard
    7:30 temps
  9. BGM Blizzard
    Bgm radar just went down with no estimated time for restoration. Great time to be flying blind.
  10. BGM Blizzard
    Mix lines and dry slots always seem to move in faster than expected. I think this is gonna be primarily a waa thump of 4-6 across most of WNY and CNY then mix and/or slot with backend snow showers. ENY will probably benefit from coastal re-development and end up with widespread 8-12. That's my guess.
  11. BGM Blizzard
    Latest nws grids Bit of a disconnect between buf and bgm on the western border... the southern tier zones especially.
  12. BGM Blizzard
    Euro been trending north since bottoming out south at 18z yesterday.
  13. BGM Blizzard
    The Rapper is going batshit around these parts. Hard sell.
  14. BGM Blizzard
    GFS has been rock steady for at least 5 straight runs. Very little change on 0z run.
  15. BGM Blizzard
  16. BGM Blizzard
    Solid shift for sure
  17. BGM Blizzard
    0z nam/H18.... Confluence pushing little more south and heights a little lower out front vs 18z run. It's early but probably going to shift south some again this run.
  18. BGM Blizzard
    0z nbm
  19. BGM Blizzard
    Eps 12z vs 18z. Could def see those axis shifting atleast 25mi north.
  20. BGM Blizzard
    I find it interesting the nam and rgem are on complete opposite sides of the spectrum right now and both have been quite consistent in their north and south solutions. The rgem did the best with the last one of these storms as I recall... atleast when it came to pinpointing the axis of heaviest snow. The nam wasn't too far off either with that one. Both were nw of the globals for most part esp the Euro.
  21. BGM Blizzard
    Euro was too far south on the last one of these storms. Consistently had southern tier within the axis of heaviest snow but ended up busting a good 40 miles too far south. Gotta start to weigh the meso models more heavily starting with tonight's runs.
  22. BGM Blizzard
    Euro made another shift south at 18z
  23. BGM Blizzard
    Icon dropped south and/or colder.
  24. BGM Blizzard
    Buf, Bgm, and Btv updated the grids. Now Albany sticks out like sore thumb lol.
  25. BGM Blizzard
    Rgem went even further south than 12z and jacks Scranton.
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