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BGM Blizzard

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  1. Didnt hear or see anything and I'm 3 miles away. But hard to hear with fireplace fan going. I saw they mentioned thundersnow reports in recent AFD. We probably had close to 3"/hour rates at times this morning. About 6 inches here so far.
  2. Latest BGM update saying 2-4"/hour rates possible within meso band.
  3. Looks like bombogenesis is set to occur with >=24mb drop between now and this time tomorrow... like 990 to 966 roughly. Likely going to be an intense meso band somewhere from southern tier to northeast NY. Any bets on thundersnow occurring somewhere within the band? Its a shame this thing is rocketing along else this could have rivaled the March 2017 blizzard.
  4. Have a hard time believing it doesnt ping atleast to I-81 if a primary low advances into Ontario Province. Strong HP good for keeping surface below freezing so plain rain shouldnt be a problem outside of maybe far W NY, but models always seem to underestimate warm nose somewhere in the 700-850mb layers and seen it ping many a times in these situations even with air temp of 19 degrees. 540 decameter line is usually a decent quick and dirty estimate of where can expect atleast some mixing issues to enter equation. Best chance for 6+ across E NY.
  5. Might push 60 down here. If it ain't snowing might as well be able to wear shorts and tee shirt. GFS also has a dry slot with only .2 of total qpf to boot. Win-win.
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