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ma blizzard

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Everything posted by ma blizzard

  1. too weak to get a more ageostrophic low lvl wind response i think
  2. 32.5/31 sucks we couldn't pop more of a meso low with another 3/4" - 1" QPF to come
  3. even down here we have some pixie flakes at times mixing in 27.4/25
  4. 26.3/24, mostly sleet/freezing rain but a couple flakes coming down too
  5. does HRRR count sleet as snow? at least on cod.edu it looks like it counts sleet as snow thinking 3"-5" is more reasonable
  6. too much confluence to our N/NE? by about 96 you can see a lobe pinwheeling into N Maine that looked like trouble ..
  7. there was a decent icing event on this day in 1990?
  8. I think I finally found the model that was run out of the Revs basement ...
  9. ICON is such a weenie solution .. it has been spitting out way more QPF than other model (at least 0z, 6z, 12z runs). I have my doubts on widespread 2"-3" QPF from this system in SNE - let alone over 1" between 18z and 0z Sunday .. and then there is that cold tuck at the end that drops temps into the 10s for N/NE MA lol
  10. as crazy as the OP run was, feels like it leaves some on the table big potential with this setup
  11. not a bad run of the GFS for next Thursday
  12. that's a cold run of the GFS at surface .. looks like my area stays below freezing for the duration
  13. should be an interesting run of the NAM - confluence looks a bit better and the storm looks more amped thru 60 anyway
  14. would like to see a more well defined meso low that gets going earlier to really lock in the cold for metro west anyway
  15. 1.3" before the rain in Shrewsbury
  16. perhaps but IMO any trends with confluence to the NE are more important
  17. Without a doubt euro comes in warmer for the weekend .. and from there wouldn’t surprise me if it keeps ticking warmer to the point we see 1”-3” to mostly rain for SNE
  18. its been awhile since we have had a decent ice storm outside of the deep interrior? 12/23/17?
  19. verbatim CMC is suppressed but close to a GFS esque solution
  20. 0z GFS saves winter what a beast that D9/D10 storm
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