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Everything posted by PowellVolz
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
That’s great info. .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
The good news is it feels like there’s multiple ways for us to get some snow out of this when typically there’s multiple ways for this to fail. .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I feel like the depth of the cold could hold its ground either way. .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I know it’s still early but MRX has taken rain out of my forecast for Sunday/Monday and lowered temps. Waiting on AFD .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I’m terrible with years but I remember (maybe 2015) we had two weeks of brutal cold and a couple of overrunning events right after a polar front? Like I said I’m terrible with dates, even years for that matter. .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
2015? .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Doesn’t it also have NW precip shield issues? .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Are you talking after next week? .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
That’s interesting. Good point .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Our last two decent valley systems, Christmas 2020 and March 2022(?) over performed in a 50 mile radius over Knoxville and both of them had some trailing moisture up the valley that just enhanced over Knox Co but didn’t really funnel north of there. Just sorta dead headed. .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
That weird lollipop keeps popping up over Knox, Blount and Sevier Co. Kinda weird… it’s not every run but it’s been there about 50% of the time. Could this be some kind of backing or damming with the anafrontal moisture up against the GSM? .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Does the Euro still have issues with hanging energy back? .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
How much If any does the tilt matter for a winter storm? I know what it means for severe weather. .- 1,263 replies
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I ended up with about as much as I started with. [emoji30] .
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
That’s weird…. When I go below freezing on Sunday afternoon, I don’t go back above freezing for a week and I’m in the valley. .- 1,263 replies
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The wind is ripping it .
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When I got married 23 years ago, we lived in the condos between Weigles and Murphy Hills. I noticed the same thing as you with the wind. In the upper end of Halls where I’m at now, there’s not much towards the W/SW to block the wind. Some friends of mine on down Emory towards Gibbs lost some small apple trees today. FYI… Kenny Chesney’s step dad built those condos. .
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
No it’s not but it did not look like there’s any accumulation worth noting before the Monday system, especially in the lower elevations. .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
GFS Kuchera….hope it is ok to show .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not something we deal with much. I know the Christmas 2020 system was highly localized. I had around 6” in Halls but 10 min west of me in Powell had 2”. A friend in deep W Knoxville had almost 6”. My in laws in Union County, about 15 min away had an inch or so. .- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
In a anafrontal system, is their elements that can enhance qpf that the mods don’t pickup on? NW flow, steep lapse rates, low level moisture, etc….? I’m assuming it could be rationed higher from cold 850’s? .- 1,263 replies
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Beautiful… you and John take great pictures .
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Friend in Jackson Tn is reporting sleet and snow. .- 1,263 replies
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Buddy in Jackson Tn is reporting sleet and snow. .
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If that was about an hour ago north of Knoxville I was in it. That’s where my wind gusts came from. Pretty wild actually .