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Everything posted by Warm Nose
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Warm Nose replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Me too. And deep down I know I'll get the ole' Blutarsky from anything next week as well.- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Warm Nose replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Warm Nose replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
@H2O- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Warm Nose replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Euro to GFS- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Warm Nose replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
- 425 replies
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- jinx
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Warm Nose replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Personally waiting for the HVNOFING-ID-EA to run.- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Warm Nose replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Well, it's moving one direction and it's towards the others, however slight.- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Warm Nose replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Warm Nose replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
SN anywhere in the region is a good thing ... I hope you get 8" ... ... and I get 18. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Warm Nose replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Back to back 2-4 inch snows that stay around gets us in a decent place ... -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Warm Nose replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Warm Nose replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Here's your explanation: https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/dataset/machine-learning-model-data Blog post here: https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/science-blog/2023/rise-machine-learning-weather-forecasting The one I referenced uses Google's Deepmind. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Warm Nose replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, this ML one in particular shows a storm ... https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/graphcast_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202401120000&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202401121200 -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Warm Nose replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
This isn't part of the Euro itself. It's an ML model(s) that uses the Euro as an input to analyze and explain why the model sees what it does and 'learn' from it. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Warm Nose replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Warm Nose replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Mood ... -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Warm Nose replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Warm Nose replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
[Ducks and runs] -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Warm Nose replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Current state of affairs -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Warm Nose replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
fify -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Warm Nose replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Warm Nose replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
We're gonna fill the Bingo card before we get to Saturday at this rate... -
Woe is Ji .. no wind
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Last bit then the back edge getting ready to swing through. PWS gauge reads 2.55" for today. Thankfully not the 4-5" as forecast for the foothills of the BR. Little to no wind still at all.
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Wind so far has not mixed down here at all. My max gust all day has been around 6mph on my PWS. Up to 1.85in on the rain gauge with some pretty hefty rates right now.
