BornAgain13

1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said:

Euro is definitely slower than the gfs and some of the other models. Slowest of the group in getting this storm in here. That’s another factor to fine tune 

Euro is about a perfect track for your area as well...

Seems more to me that the EURO continues to stay south... where as the GFS and FV3 GFS is staying more north.

12z UK placement map looks good.... is it a big winter storm taken verbatim?

Folks, call me out if I'm wrong,  but I dont see that precip changing to rain towards the end, especially NW sections... that's where the GFS under does the CAD

43 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

Not sure where you're getting this information.

Could I possibly see this same graphic for Dry Fork, VA?

1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said:

Sizeable shift north with the heavier snow no?? Up into northern VA now.

Yes, the 0z GFS ensemble did go north.

3 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

Map?

0Z GEFS Snowfall Mean Increasing Again!

2 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

Oh absolutely! Especially when you have to freakin wait 20min for the FV3 to load 6 hour increments 

Or better, when you have to wait for the EURO....

During times of tracking winter storms,  I seem to lose sleep looking at weather models.... man it's worth it though!

Any update on how the UK is? Would it be a big run for the forum?

One thing is for sure, the EURO and GFS want to keep this system around for a while! Could be a 24-36 hr event.

10 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

KGSP is still at a 9” mean on the 18z GEFS. KGSO is at 11”. KCLT is at 8”. All dramatic increases since this morning. 

What is the mean for KDAN?

3 minutes ago, Wurbus said:

It was mentioned in the Tennessee Valley thread the other day, but the TT formula is off for the FV3. If you compare the snow total map to other sites it is significantly increased on TT for some reason.

Here you go... another site with big totals from the 18z FV3

8 minutes ago, Wow said:

 Looks like we traded fantasy snow totals vs 12z 

Sure does look that way lol.

FV3 GFS brings the Hammer!! Wow!!

GEFS increases again, especially NW NC, SW & Central VA.

Comparison of 12z & 18z

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

Still impressive for western sections. Keep in mind much of this would be sleet/slop 

Wouldn't really call that much slop/mess... even if a little sleet mixes in in Danville and Pittsylvania county,  that's a 1-2 Foot Snowstorm still.

2 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

Probably along or about 20 miles south of the NC/SC border

That's pretty cold....

1 minute ago, griteater said:

Again, evolution is similar to FV3, but a little north

Sure wish we could see where the Snow line is on the 12z UK

Just now, Wow said:

 I'm in the bullseye with 30-32" lol

I think I'm only around 20... next run lol

New GFS is a Carolina Crusher!

1 minute ago, griteater said:

12z GEFS Mean took a baby step south like the Op

Grit what is the GEFS Mean for Dry Fork,VA from the 12z Data?

3 minutes ago, Wow said:

0z Euro total QPF.  It's juiced up.

Hey Wow... Wow!!