BornAgain13

The Euro Ensembles have been spot on. It looks like the OP took a step towards them. 

Just now, griteater said:

It does look good for Roanoke to Lynchburg and north

And Dry Fork! lol

2 minutes ago, griteater said:

12z Euro cuts the low into N Bama.  It has a nice sfc high to the north running in tandem with the sfc low, but it's missing the closed 500mb low over Maine to keep the height field where it can suppress the sfc low like the GFS.  

FV3 GFS and Euro vs. GFS - not too good

Not quite sure I understand you... this Euro run looks good to me...

4 minutes ago, Waiting on snow said:

I'd lean toward the Euro and FV3 at this point more. Not because it has a better storm, but because it has been scoring better than the GFS, correct?

But this far out it really is hard to buy into any of them.

correct, but the Ensembles we can lean on this far out and they show support....

Taken Verbatim,  it snows IMBY for 24+ hrs. So nice,  yet so far away.

Wow what a storm! Taken Verbatim!

Euro Control

12z Data So Far Suggesting a Southern Mid Atlantic , Upper SE Winter Storm. Still way to far out to be specific. One things for certain, it does look like a Storm will be close around the 8th-10th.

I like....

31/18 in Dry, Fork, VA

33 minutes ago, griteater said:

850mb temps same period

That's a thing of beauty!

I'm not saying it's certain, but I'm going to say it's very possible that the upper SE, Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast get a Winter Storm/Storms towards the end of the month going into December.  The pattern and upper air pattern just supports it way to much!

Looking more and more like a damaging ice threat for the mountains!

It will be interesting to see what the 18z and 0z models spit out.... will the trend continue of colder and more ice, or will it trend warmer. 

This would not be good. This is the 12z RGEM.

I know these clown maps are not accurate and include sleet, but they dont seem to match up with what's actually falling either...

34 minutes ago, NCSNOW said:

ICE STORM on the euro from Triad all the way back to the blue ridge . Wed into Thirs

Pictures?

0z NAM ends up being to warm.

18z GEFS Mean... wow what a tight gradient...

18z ICON Hammers southern va/northern nc

12z ICON off to a good start... Hammers central NC and Mts Saturday night/ Sun morning.

How accurate is the HRDPS? It brings about 7" to mby... which is highly unlikely 

Still plenty of time for it to shift south... lets see what GFS/CMC/EURO say...

NAM anyone? 

13 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

and it's closer than it looks for places from Morganton to Winston.

Taken verbatim, what does it show for Southside VA?