sielicki

Clearly these offices are still learning to deal with their collective PTSD from how badly the Dec21 storm was called. When you call for warnings a week early and the models leave you hanging at the last minute, normal people are pissed but the weather nerds understand where you were coming from. When you call it during (borderline after) the event, weather nerds will make forum posts laughing at you, and normal people will think that you nailed it. Among the two options, they prefer to be the ridicule of the Ohio valley subforum. Such is life.

Can any of you guys make fancy animated gifs that keep the valid time constant but shows the change from run to run? feels like the models had consensus on this days ago and it hasn’t hardly budged.

Went from 9” on Monday to 0” for me. I hate this.

Ski hills just can’t get a break. They pumped millions of gallons of water at night to do their best to make snow and survive the warm stretch from the 4th week of December through the third week of January. Then it looks like winter is finally returning for a week. Reverse uno card: 40s and rain on the ten day with worse to follow.

4, melting down to 2.

This sucks. If February doesn’t deliver I’m moving to the UP or out west to the mountains.

Of course it does, how wouldn’t it?

Between the miss of this last storm and the warming trend that is casting serious doubts on the rest of the season, it’s been a demoralizing past 10 days.

15:1? Why stop there! If you want hopium just go straight to 30:1. Oh man, this thing is going to bury all of us!

Legitimately very worried about this storm. I’m out in the woods and every single tree is still loaded with ice from last week when we had rain followed by a quick freeze that allowed snow to stick. If the wind gusts deliver as forecasted, which seems to be the only certain thing about this system, there’s a very good chance that a tree falls where I would prefer it wouldn’t. I could see this being a serious event in terms of $ damage.

not cool, man. I am starting to go crazy without a serious big melt over here.

I'm so ready to be disappointed.

I really hope that at some point we get a postmortem on what happened to the radar at Paducah. If there's physical damage that took Paducah down -- fine, that's going to happen sometimes. But what I find inexcusable is that many meteorologists, especially public facing meteorologists doing newscasts, failed to recognize that it was serving old data and subsequently gave many timelines that were off by like 10 minutes. My point is this: it's not their fault that they didn't recognize this when they're busy with running a newscast. The problem is structural in the protocols and tools that are used to distribute this data. If a data source goes down, it needs to not publish old data as if it's new, and there need to be big warning signs in all the tools that you're looking at old data. It should never happen that a meteorologist is telling people that the tornado will be there in 10 minutes when in reality it's already over the city. But that happened last night. And it's a huge failure. I think this issue, which is fundamentally a software issue in my mind, probably cost at least one person their life.

WOW. It's just a giant mess of metal. Most of the time you can see a story in destruction -- this wall fell because this thing fell on it, the roof collapsed because this tree fell on it, etc.. There's no story to that. I cannot imagine being in that town right now.

Anyone have another livestream? Storm is moving out of WPSD's coverage area.

How is Paducah still not back up?

He's doing the broadcast with gr2analyst now, what a baller.

I've been watching https://www.kfvs12.com/livestream/ and they've been very confused about old data for the past ~10 minutes. Really a dangerous situation when most people depend on the news for their safety and the news is telling them that the cell has been stuck over grand rivers when it's actually already over princeton.

I'm scouring twitter trying to find anyone with pictures/etc.

35k feet up, at one point does the FAA start diverting traffic? Serious question.

https://twitter.com/nilwxreports/status/1469512116637945861?s=20

oh my god