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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. It's in the perfect spot to do this. More please.
  2. Yes. Curious about this stat for BWI, DCA, and IAD.
  3. With more states launching mesonets, I wonder if a mesonet site will qualify for climate data someday.
  4. What website was that graphic generated from?
  5. Ensemble guidance isn't going to pick up on a rogue wave or storm during this period. https://twitter.com/CarolineMDDES/status/1728270369281196230?t=Q--GMRs6I4v3hy3k1Om0sg&s=19
  6. Long ways to go. Just one dot on a line.
  7. Yes. Yes. There we go. West coast ridge, Greenland blocking, yes.
  8. Yea its amazing to see a bit of potential now. Maybe we get something in the suburbs this month?
  9. Absolute garbage instrument site. Put an ASOS at the White House or something.
  10. It's going to be hilariously painful if/when we're at New Years Eve with no snow.
  11. Now we're talking. This is what you want to see out west.
  12. Do you think the PV keeps weakening to our advantage, or we strike out in January?
  13. You buy what the guidance is starting to spit out in the extended? You think we cash in with some early season snow?
  14. Really important that we keep the west coast ridge and the trough stays out in the Alleutians. We don't want that stacking up near the coast and flooding the CONUS with a modified Pacific arimass.
  15. That was absolutely terrible. We had this wonderful cold blast that lasted a whole 72 hours. Then total muck the rest of the winter.
  16. No, but I play one on TV. I got the nickname in college because my aunt got my an Eskimo Joe's storm chasing t-shirt from their online store, and I was that kid on campus who wore short pants and a t-shirt until January.
  17. It's riding the western edge of the trough, hence the trajectory looks awkward. If the axis was focused further west by another 100 miles or so, then it would appear more normal. I'm still very bearish on snowfall chances for this winter for 3 reasons: 1.) Uncooperative Pacific 2.) Uncooperative Atlantic blocking 3.) STJ will be deflected too far south and east because #2. I could see this winter setting up where DCA and IAD see a couple of Boxing Day 2010 events where Delmarva jackpots and we smoke cirrus west of the Bay. I don't think my psyche could handle another one of those.
  18. When the time comes. I know I'm a deb, but I live for snow. As an Eskimo, it's part of my tradition and upbringing. Moving south of Mason-Dixon has been good for my career, but terrible for my passion.
  19. While I understand this is a single run of an operational model, the 18z GFS has a nice banana high on the Dec 5 - 8 event. That is a requirement for early season snow of any consequence, and difficult to get without Atlantic blocking. Good to see. More please.
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