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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    You are very close to the Clarksville mesonet site. It's almost in your backyard! Link: https://mesonet.umd.edu/station?stid=MDMSNT-01
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Clear trend on the Euro to also weaken the primary low at the surface and aloft quicker. Probably stunts the mid level warming so quickly. I want to see more of that today into tomorrow.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    IMO, it's rimmed snow, but that's snow.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Counties that border both sides of Mason-Dixon could push 14"+ per the 12z Euro.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Canadian kills the inland low off quick and has a better high. Good signs and it's been trending this way for several runs.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    The 12z suite is good. If we can knock that warm layer down, then it would be a boom scenario wrt snowfall.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    It's *possible* the warm nose might not be as bad, and it's oscillating right on the edge of flipping between snow and sleet.
  8. Eskimo Joe
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Mt. Holly & Wakefield forecast for central and lower Delmarva
  10. Eskimo Joe
    RE: snow:water ratio forecasting. Thought this would be a good book mark for folks.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    FWIW, the 12z HRRR appears colder and holds the sleet line below I-66 through 12z/15z Sunday.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    RE: Freezing rain risk. See the response from @wxmvpete
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Big plus on the 12z NAM is that it appears to kill off the primary surface low quick, and further south.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    00z GFS is the best case scenario. 8"-12" along I-95, 12"-16" immediate western suburbs. 16"+ west of US 15.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Through HR51, the surface high and subsequent CAD seems stronger on the 00z NAM.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Not a dru patch, just subsidence behind that band in northern MD.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Same. Hope 00z is better for all. Mix events are exasperating to work.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Well said. A big weekend for the mesonet though. Its first widespread winter storm.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    One thing for sure, the rest of this month is cold.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    GFS just locks that high in over the St. Lawrence Valley every run.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    In GFS we trust. Heavens yes. All snow with no precip issues.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Oh man that would be a disaster. Thank the gods it's the RGEM.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like a consensus for 6" - 10" from I-70 to I-66 with some sleet. 10"+ up into PA. The biggest storm in over a decade for many. Sold.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    IIRC don Sutherland posted in here in that past that 4 out of the 5 tops five La Nina snowfalls at BWI were in January, and were all under 10" of snow. The lone exception was the Blizzard of 1996.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    That would be a disaster
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