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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. That cluster of cells NW of RIC looks interesting.
  2. Heads up lower S. MD, Delmarva and tidewater of VA:
  3. Yes. Was working a call in Rescue 1 during that.
  4. Nice line developing along I-95. Here's my view from the west.
  5. Totally agree this could trend towards more "seasonal" heat as we draw near, but to see 3 globals and their ensembles advertising this is something worth noting, IMO.
  6. Overnight Euro/EPS, GFS/GEFS, and Canadian really choosing violence to start August. Decent consensus for a 594dm ridge, even close to 600dm ridge on the GFS. Would easily spell upper 90s, to 100s over us. With the ridge axis firmly placed over us, would be probably void of storms too.
  7. The crazy thing is they're only 5 games out of being a legit AL team.
  8. 06z GFS/GEFS and EPS/Euro choose heat to start august. Signal starting to build there.
  9. GFS is advertising nothing short of a potentially Top 5 heatwave. It pumps a 600dm ridge over us. That's only happened twice in the history of soundings on IAD, PBZ, and WAL. If that came to fruition it would be incredible.
  10. 850 temps torch though...gonna need ratios to keep on the good side of the mix line.
  11. Impressive velocity signature on the Leesburg cell.
  12. Yesterday things look pretty decent, but it's the Mid Atlantic and we're staring down mid level debris clouds. Classic.
  13. I hit 98 on Saturday and Sunday. Not too far off, IMO.
  14. High of 98 today. Down to 91 now, but the wind has slacked off and now it feels pretty terrible.
  15. Move it to the White House.
  16. Tomorrow looks decent. Any time we have high CAPE and a big airmass change, someone wins.
  17. Just think if that line had a decent cold pool with it. Probably would've been a decent surprise event.
  18. Hi of 98 at my CO-OP station today. Now down to 96.
  19. Don't see any CAMs that really push a line into I-95.
  20. 92/72 in the shade. HI of 100 at 1:30.
  21. Cappucci like to stir the pot as well. We get a lot of trees and wires that come down in this part of the country. These are absolutely public safety hazards to anyone outside. DC/Baltimore gets a fair number of trees into houses as well. Part of the language for the SVR warnings is "go to an interior room in a sturdy building" because we see time and time again trees getting through the roof and into the bedrooms on the top floor. The other issue here is that NWS has transitioned to storm based warnings. That's great because you're reducing the size of the warning polygon and the population that's being warned. The flip side to that is that you have to tailor the polygon to the storm and that leads to an increase in the number of warnings issued, especially when you're dealing with cells/clusters in lieu of a straight line.
  22. Low of 75 in Reisterstown...temp spiked to 80 at 7:00 am when I left for work. Wx station at our 911 center show 85 degrees already.
  23. FME is at Tipton Airport across Rt 32 in a grove of trees.
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