Eskimo Joe

2 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said:

Jeez. CMC still basically 50% drier than most of the rest it seems. 

Use the Canadian as the "bust" scenario and you won't be dissapointed.

2 minutes ago, yoda said:

Pivotal 10:1 says Wes wins.

Wes is in Florida for several weeks.

00z GFS appears to be a low level warning event for I-95 and points NW. 

GFS looks good.

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

being under a watch---like seeing the words Winter Storm watch and my county...electrifying!  

Back in the early 00s, with no Internet. You'd listen to the NOAA Weather Radio right as you get home from school. You've noticed that morning the forecast increased the chance of snow and the temperatures were lowered. A few wisps of cirrus were hanging low over the western horizon. Suddenly, a short pause in the radio. Then you heard it, "the following is a statement from the National Weather Service......Winter Storm Watch in effect."

It's coming.

There you go @Ji

Winter Storm Watch extended to DC suburbs.

5 minutes ago, Interstate said:

Just remember everyone... Boston is getting shutout again

We're going to pay for that for decades.

5 minutes ago, jayyy said:

Wait this storm is legit happening? Haven’t been paying much attention at all. Just got back into town last night. Let’s goooo

Yup

If the Euro is to be believed, then it's a borderline low end warning event from DC to Mason-Dixon.

6 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

Seems like Kuchera not buying the high ratio stuff. Certainly not buying crazy JB.

Don't look at the raw output, take a look at the soundings. We have signs of a fully saturated DGZ for several hours and it's at night. You can really jackpot in that case.

NOAA has a new link for the NBM snowfall. It's really slick: https://sites.gsl.noaa.gov/desi/?chart=x4d&lat=40&lon=-105&theme=dark&timeZone=local&hourFormat=12&x4dviewState={"latitude"%3A40.5%2C"longitude"%3A-100%2C"bearing"%3A0%2C"pitch"%3A20%2C"zoom"%3A4}&dset=HREF-CONUS&clusHghlgt=true&x4dGrid={"HREF"%3A{"url"%3A[40.5%2C-100%2C388%2C270]}}&x4dMapStyle=2D&x4dMaps={"basemap"%3A{"value"%3A"Mapbox"}%2C"simpleBasemap"%3A{"value"%3A"Dark"}%2C"mapboxBasemap"%3A{"value"%3A"Satellite"}}

13 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Gfs has shown that dual-banded look as well

Definitely something legit then if the two best globals are picking up on it.

I'll take the 12z Euro in a heart beat. Solid advisory level event at night with no temperature issues, and leading into a weekend to boot!

21 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

My wife is from the Utica area...Barneveld. That's where i learned about Utica greens and chicken riggies....yum

It's a Simpsons reference to  Steamed Hams. Side note, I've had chicken riggies...concur on the yum.

3 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

It's an Albany expression.

Makes sense. I'm from Utica and I've never heard anyone say that.

Looks like another advisory level event inbound.

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I hope your kid is out of school for the entirety of a week and you’re stuck playing outside every day while a cold, hostile wind blows drifts into your driveway and you can’t escape for days. I hope there are abandoned cars in your neighborhood and the main thoroughfare look like a third world country with no snowplows.  

 there's OG Randy

18 minutes ago, yoda said:

A nice 1-3/2-4 Friday night would be nice.  Yeah, we would like more and it will probably melt quickly Saturday afternoon... but any snow is good to see.  Just cover everything.

Weekend snow is the best. No stress.

LWX map seems reasonable.

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Would be happier if we could get slightly colder temps. Cities float around 32/33. Northern/western areas 29/30.

If we can keep moistening up that would help.

Let's see if we can add 0.25" QPF regionwide and drop temps by 2 to 4 degrees.

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

GFS is pretty nice (in context!!). Not a big one but 2-4 for most of us with 4-6 northern tier 

That's like a classic 90s snowstorm.

3 minutes ago, Steve25 said:

We will get a 10 inch storm in March that no one will remember because it'll be 75 degrees the next day lol

And 75 degrees the day before!

9 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

You make me sick.

I dare the weather gods to make me eat crow.