Sciascia
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Everything posted by Sciascia
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Here you go, you filthy animals!
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Some of the ensembles are painting 3 feet in some spots. 3. FEET.
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If the trend keeps going, those oranges will be in N IL by 18z tomorrow.
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https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/legacy/ Has multiple models, animated gif capabilities, and you can even look at comparisons between two models.
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Almost like joining together to create a United Kingdom of weather models or something…
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You know it’s a good looking storm when I’m looking at my area in Boone County having around a foot of snow on the models & thinking, “Man, that could be better.”
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As location continues to wobble, these models just continue showing monster totals run after run. That’s the best sign of anything.
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Here’s a gif of the GEFS 10:1 Ensembles from 6pm Tuesday to Friday at midnight. If #10 came anywhere close to verifying, nothing’s happening in Chicago for a few days afterward.
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Snow evolution of the storm per GFS from Hr84 to Hr138:
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I think the biggest parallel it has to GHD I is that (if I’m remembering correctly) it’s been showing a major (8+ inches) snow system over the region 7-8 days out from the start. Obviously, we have days to go before the consistency can be fully judged. But if so, would be like GHD I in a modeling perspective.
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Downtown Chicago has numbers in double digits for every one of those runs. And ORD in all but one.
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Snow continues to fly here in Poplar Grove. All the blowing & drifting makes it “fun” for me when taking my dogs outside. Some spots barely cover my shoes, while other areas are shin deep. Although my car that’s parked outside barely has any snow on it.
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LOT’s updated take:
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Heavy snow currently. Best of the event so far.
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Just had my dogs out. I’d say snow is falling moderately, but the wind is a pain in the ass.
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Been a very light mood snow falling in Boone county for about an hour. Hopefully it’ll pick up a bit shortly. The dry holes out west from an hour ago seem to be filling in.
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Doesn’t look like I’ll break 3 inches out here. But I’m pulling for Cook to do well with LES.
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Happy New Year to all. Here’s to hoping for an overperformer, but expecting lesser amounts!
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NAM is coming in…*shakes dice* *Throws dice* Drier! 00z: 18z:
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He’s waiting for Mark Giangreco & Janet Davies to ring in the New Year. I’ll be watching Cheryl Scott’s fine behind. Anywho, snow!
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They may not always hit on their assessments, but LOT does a great job when it comes to informing everyone about how they think a storm will unfold.
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Congrats @Hoosier! Much to my surprise, Boone County got one too. Doesn’t mean I’ll get more snow, but pink on the weather map always looks better than purple.
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I wouldn’t immediately discredit the LES shown on the hi-res models. Different circumstances, but they did pretty well with the Chicago LES storm last February.
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Ah, good to know my geographical neighbor. Thanks
