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AlexD1990

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    Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    Does not look like much has changed. 1" to 4". [mention=1005]CAPE[/mention] has the best chance to see frontogenitals, upside maybe 5", downside genitals. Hopefully [mention=13751]AlexD1990[/mention] can scrape together 2" down the beach.
    I'm in chips fall mode. Dangerously close to the rain line, but that could end up being a good thing. I'm sick as a dog anyway so I'll see what's outside when I wake up

    Sent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk

    Mid/Late February will be rocking. (This year we mean it!) February long range discussion.

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    It's odd that no one complains when I say how good the pattern looks over and over again when it does in fact look good.   Analysis is analysis.  When something is good I say it.  When something is bad I say it.  I don't blow smoke.  I don't stick my head in the sand.  And I call em like I see em.    Don't like it, put me on ignore and don't read my posts.  I won't be offended.  
    Ah, there's the hostility again. But why repeat yourself, good or bad? It's been said and now it's just variations on a theme. I don't disagree with what you're saying. You've been acting with a undertone of anger the past few weeks, and it just seems to me like your upsetting yourself more than anyone else. Maybe I read the room wrong.

    I have no intention of putting you on ignore. That function is for trolls like ji or manic depressives like maestro. I greatly enjoy your analysis, even if it becomes a little repetitive. But maybe it is time to adjust expectations in a big way, for all of us. I had hopes this kind of change would wait till I was a old man, but the planet seems to have other plans...


    I've said my piece, maybe I shouldn't have wasted the time to begin with, because I meant no disrespect or offence, so for that I apologize. I'll go back to lurking. ..

    Sent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk

    Mid/Late February will be rocking. (This year we mean it!) February long range discussion.

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

    @Bob Chill everything you said regarding this winter is 100% accurate.  And in a vacuum I agree.  The problem is when you zoom out and take the last 5 years as a whole, things start to become a little more alarming.  It's like a coach who at the end of a disappointing game where one of his players fumbles the ball is saying how, its just one game and flukes happen and yada yada yada...and that is totally true and you would never bench a player for one fumble.  But if it happens 5 games in a row... 

    I ran the numbers out of morbid self loathing a couple weeks ago.  Since 2010 DC has had the snow climo of central NC.  Since 2016 DC has had the snow climo of central SC!  The main reason for this is its just been too warm.  Warm months are outnumbering cold ones 3-1.  Perfect track waves are tending to end up rain more and more often.  It's too warm is the common thread.  Yes we can debate the different specific reason one week was too warm v another.  Maybe one time the NAO was positive.  Another time the pac was crap.  Many times its been both!  But sometimes the patterns been fine and it was still to warm lol.  Again, we can zoom in and get stuck in the details and find legitimate specific reasons why one period or another didnt work and find ways a storm could have been snow if this that or the other had gone better.  But zoom out and take everything holistically and I think the trends are more troubling and have a common theme.  

    You've said this a thousand different ways throughout winter. I get what you're saying. It's too warm. Nothings really going to change that at this point, though. Short of a Yellowstone supervolcano, the climate is going to continue to warm, and its just going to get harder to snow. but constantly reiterating that doesn't seem to be accomplishing much other than depressing yourself; and everyone who reads it. Maybe more people should read it, accept it, and move on(in some cases quite literally, somewhere further north...) and adjust expectations appropriately moving forward. As you said a few weeks ago, if things didnt work out. Well, looks like we are there.,

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