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Posts posted by hardypalmguy
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16 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:
Wow, I was looking at calendar days with at least 7.0 inches of snowfall and I was surprised at how poorly Columbus, Ohio fares in that department. In the threaded history for the city (1884-present), there have only been 17 calendar days with at least 7.0 inches of snow at Columbus.
By comparison, Tri Cities, TN has had 19 in its threaded history, which only dates to 1937. Louisville, KY has had 32 days. Lexington, KY has had 26 days. Cincinnati has had 19 such days. Charleston, WV has had 43 days (since 1903). Clarksburg, WV had 38 such days between 1922 and 1998 [no snowfall records since]. Morgantown, WV - with no snowfall records since 1998 - has had 53 days. Richmond, VA has had 37 such days. Washington, DC 49 days. Knoxville, TN 25 days. Even Raleigh-Durham, NC 25 days. Charlotte, NC 18 days. Chattanooga, TN has had one fewer - at 16 days. Nearby Zanesville - with no snowfall records since at least the late 1990s - has had 27 days. Indianapolis has had 33, nearly twice as many. St, Louis has had 35 - more than twice as many. Even Little Rock, Arkansas and Tulsa, Oklahoma match Columbus's 17 days of 7"+ snowfall. Lubbock, Texas has had 19, while Amarillo, Texas does incredibly well on this metric with 46 such days.
Who would think RDU and Charlotte have had more 7"+ calendar days than Columbus, and Little Rock and Tulsa the same number of such days?
How many does MKE have?
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Winter Storm Warning criteria has increased to 7" for MBY. Changes for most of MI.
Lmao. Still 6 inches in Wisconsin.- 1
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3 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:
WAD
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22 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:
Definitely the cloudiest October I can remember. High temps have been colder than average for 11 straight days and counting but no frost/freeze yet (should change early next week).
There's no freeze coming early next week.
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12 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:
GFS has been pretty consistent showing flakes of some degree in these parts around that time.
Bismarck special looks most likely.
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13 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:
maybe 4 u
yup flakes won't fly by the lake until december. 61 degree water.
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14 hours ago, Nelson said:
Need this sh*t in January
need more than that in january. bigger the ridge the better in winter, gotta keep out the inversions that like to ruin ridges.
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53 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:
textbook nice fall day, sunny temp near 60
best climo
You're losing san diego vibes
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That will help keep the lakes a little warmer so the first LES event or two of the season will have a little extra potential.
LE rain. -
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32 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:
Down to 38 here overnight. Average first freeze for Minneapolis is October 10th and we are looking at no freezing weather in site.
90% of years have a freeze in Minneapolis by 10/26.
You survived camping this weekend.
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Another quality soak n spin event
Is that like a sit and spin? -
All signs are pointing to a failure to launch early cold season once again. Very below normal snow cover on both sides of poles and a very warm Canada right now. And I’m seeing signs of a repeat to January 2006 which was exceptionally warm. I’m just calling it as I see it and giving my thoughts as well.
If all signs showed an epic cold start etc etc etc and I was just playing opposite then I could see your point. The weenies here are wishcasting for cold every winter since 2014 and it has been failing to materialize.- 1
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Spamming the board with images of the shitty CFS model isn't very scientific of a forecast method.
Just saying...
Well bless your heart.- 2
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Show you confidence in this, leave your palms out.
I’ve already posted evidence. Plus I also include my own forecasting methods.- 1
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2015-16 definitely had a big north-south gradient, although it wasnt a terrible winter outside of December. The Nov 21 snowstorm was gorgeous, but the Nov 11, 2019 snowstorm takes the cake here. It was incredible. In both cases, those would be the biggest storms of the winter (altho each winter had some more decent snows).
As we have seen time and time again, in the end, temp departures dont necessarily matter for total snowfall. You can have more snow in a winter with a +6F departure than you do with a -3F departure. Its all a crapshoot. Colder winters matter for us snowcover folks. Of course some years the cold winters match the cold/snowy narrative (hello severest winter on record, 2013-14) and the warm winters match the low snow (2011-12, yuck), but sometimes they dont.
I am not feeling a warm winter this year. The latest model consensus of the 8 seasonal models (NMME) is a DJF departure of less than a degree warmer than avg. If it was going to be a really mild winter there would be more of a signal. A lot of models seem to be in consensus that the early part of winter will be milder than the latter part. Im more worried about what the precip patterns will be than what the temps will be. Regardless, lets enjoy Fall and winter is almost here!
Come on man. All signs are pointing to a warm winter.- 1
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15 hours ago, Stebo said:
I think we can all agree its time to take out the trash here.
Nah, sounds like you just want an echo chamber to shout into.
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Wow. I'm getting Jan 2006 vibes.
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3 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:
Our depth here peaked at 15".
BTW...a friend of mine who lives in a brand new condo refused to turn the heat on until today. As his temp inside dropped to 60.
In a condo? Which means shared warm walls. Wow. Bad building design then. Still 71 in my house with zero heat running.
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9 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:
The only misconception I had was that you actually understood the weather and just loved trolling. Now I realize that while you're certainly trolling in every post, you legit don't really understand how the weather or your climate works.
We are a few degrees of warming away from slashing our average snow totals in half man. Too bad you can't see that.
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No, why would I give a shit about having a green lawn, hell if it was up to me I would have no lawn but a community garden or botanical garden. Both better for the environment too.
Cool no private outdoor space. That’s a hard pass.- 1
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1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:
looks like last sunny day for a while, obv long ways from frost here with lots of flowering plants looking just fine still
Chicago should be upgraded to zone 7.
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10 hours ago, bowtie` said:
Just saw a news story that Waukesha, Wi is diverting Lake Michigan water to their city. But of course they are suppose to put back more water into the river than they pull out of the Great Lake.
City was too big for their local water supply, so they are stealing water from the big pond. $300 million and 35 miles of pipe. Ridiculous.
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34 minutes ago, madwx said:
33 at the house this morning with widespread frost
Woke up to light rain and 46 in palm land. Still no frost here this season.
Winter 2023-24 Longrange Discussion
in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Posted
Damn it's a different world up here.