Itstrainingtime

MDT and my total have never been closer in all my years living in Maytown. I'm at 31.5 YTD.

No - that map was valid at 7:00AM this morning. You have to subtract this morning's snowfall.

That Euro map was valid at 7:00AM this morning so keep that in mind. That's an additional 1" for me if accurate.

They're hard to ignore, (try as I do) but a lot of people love them, so my feelings are definitely in the minority and I respect what others want to see. There's no harm in them so long as people understand that they'll end up with somewhere around 5-10% of ground truth if you add up the totals on the maps. It's when people see 17" over their house and expect it from a 6 hour storm that I start to pull my hair out.

Safe travels. Thanks for the update.

CTP going for 1-3" additional snowfall tonight through mid morning tomorrow.

Oh no...I hate clippers. So many ways to fail with those. We've had some notable exceptions for sure, but I never count on much of anything from them. They really should be renamed "Mountain Shredders". One positive is they are high ratio events. You can score 3-4" of fluff from like .10" of QPF. So there's that.

Highest officially reported amount to Mt. Holly that I just checked was a 9.5". Some serious weenie reporting going on in the Philly thread, or a VERY localized dump in that area. I should have known better than to post weenie info - I take people for face value and assume they're reporting factual totals. My apologies.

True that. And that PHL post of mine was WAY off - 2 hours ago the airport was at 0.6"

I was having fun. You've done well and it's been LONG overdue up your way.

Horst (2 minutes ago) on more snow prospects: The back edge is coming fast! A classic warm advection event that plays out in ~6 hours...and so the worst will soon be behind us. As mentioned earlier, a trailing upper-level system may yield a bit of "bonus" light snow tonight into Friday AM. But we'll see about that...

Well folks - going by these 2 posts, it's pretty clear who posts positively and who posts negatively.

That would be nice - my 2 personal objectives were to reach my range, which I set to exceed my seasonal average, which I did. Right now I'm at 31.5" for the season, which is a HUGE win during a Nina. I went into the winter, and I shared this with Daxx, expecting 15-20" for the season. (he was more bullish than I was) So, anything from here on out is gravy.

100% sleet here - total snow/sleet is 4.3". We'll see what we add from here out, but totally satisfied. Right in the middle of my 3-6" range.

I have the big random flakes that you described earlier, and are often the indicator that the pingers are about to recommence here. We'll see - just about 4" here now. Again - I'm really glad that you joined our thread. Good to have eastern Lanco well represented!

Overall though - I have to say this and then I need to do some work: I find what's happening today to be 100% fascinating. We spend hours meticulously breaking down models, analyzing this and that, reaching into our own personal climo history books and memory. And yet - every storm is so unique and different. I know @paweather was/is hoping for up to 10" of snow today, most of us were somewhere between 3-8". Certainly NO one was expecting amounts at or exceeding 1'. And yet, out of nowhere, there are locations just west of Philly taking a solid run towards...who knows? Conshohocken is over 14" and ripping. That can't be predicted by anyone. What an amazing surprise for those people. And that - is why I love the weather as much as I do.

Thanks for the update - Gap is only what...5 or so miles from Parkesburg?

Heh, I'm bouncing around today like I did 50 years ago Jon.

The snowfall amounts aren't going to be uniform at all, nor is there going to be a gradual increase going south to north or north to south. Banding structure is supporting a wide disparity in accumulations - parts of the Philly area are at 8" already, for example. There are winners and losers scattered throughout.

Your area over to parts of the DV really got the goods earlier this morning. You have to be around 5" or more now.

I'm at 3.2" here, back to all SN.

Sheesh, parts of the Delaware Valley at the 8" mark already - those people gave up 36 hours ago...

Good morning! I don't think there's a traditional mix line with this event - I have sleet mixing in now, but there are reports of snow (mostly sleet, but some are snowing) well to my south across MD and VA. Some of it might be intensity driven, but it's not all of it. I think nut had a good explanation earlier.

Snow/Sleet mix here now.