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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Absolutely correct! I'm often as much as 5 or so degrees different than MDT. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My station is consistent with all of them around me. I believe it's just about 100% accurate. When I made my post, the Airpark down the road was 31. MDT has been consistently running lower than me for a couple of months now. Edit: Every station to my east is in the low to mid 30s. Every station between me and MDT is in the 28-31 range. Interesting. Still say my station is accurate. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yep, my low was a solid 15 degrees above forecast. My forecast high for today was 28, currently it's 32 at 9:25am. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
If you want snow as badly as what you've stated in this forum, why not look for positives to latch on to? It seems like you ONLY point out models that miss. I can't imagine that makes you feel good. Thing is, I'm both positive but also a realist. I will never hold on to "false hope" when I feel like it's not warranted. And sometimes I think I'm seen as a negative person when really, after years and years of going through disappointment and heartache when I latched on to something that ultimately failed, I've learned from that and am much more grounded today. But geez, there's enough out there to warrant some sort of hope that next weekend might produce some form of wintry weather. That's all we know right now. It's far from "likely" at this point and my outlook reflects that. But it's also not healthy to just pick and choose worst outcomes and piss on my cheerios every time you find it. Man, look for something positive for once. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The met from MU was touting -20 to -25 wind chills on Saturday. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
-25 wind chills! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I feel like Elliott at MU downplays wind almost as much as he does wintry weather. Having said that, he's already emphasizing that Saturday will feature 60mph winds... -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I think it's been a good 12 days or so since it's been above freezing officially? Looking at data it appears we were in the mid to upper 30s on the 22nd of January. That's one heck of an impressive run. We'll start another little streak in the coming days, too. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
GFS with a cutter-type system next Friday and then a follow up coastal BOMB 2 days later that obliterates Delmarva into the Northeast. It just misses us east but man, what a storm it would be as depicted. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Correct. My station only receives sunlight during late afternoon hours during peak sun angle season. During the winter months it's shaded 24 hours a day. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My temp is 35.3 currently. There's a wunderground station near Rheems that is at 38, most in my area are between 33 and 36. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
CTP lowered my high for today from 34 to 32. At 10:31am it's 33. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I really, really need to put my personal station online. I just haven't since I got my new one. This one is right down the road from me...maybe .2 miles? I'm literally in the radius of this station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KPAMARIE28?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTAAAR1aUZn05v6EL1SCu83D6YWAz4KB0xPA7zBHapk7ZxcoZfWMxfMgsX9YEUY_aem_AatgGdtB3HDmy_lQiEQW3p1bDKQzlUbvSccn8VpHsQ_8zcjQ2DxBPNU21ROdUrVrozfMvldDScho9lY6LgyGK0dL It's already 31 in Maytown. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yep, that's one degree lower than my forecast which makes total sense. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
To be clear, I wasn't doubting you. I was surprised by the amount of difference in temp though. And I'm even more surprised by the discrepancy in your forecast high for today compared to mine. 8 degrees is a lot. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The sun did some damage on my south-facing yard yesterday, especially at the bottom of the pack. Almost like it was melting "bottom-up". -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I actually got up to 34 yesterday. I think @mahantango#1 @canderson got warmer than I did. I'm already at 28.2 today. (CTP has me reaching 34) I got home from Florida last Wednesday. Got home and spent time widening the driveway and in process got a good bit of snow on my floormat. That was on Wednesday. Yesterday it finally melted after sitting there for 5 days. The past couple of weeks have been what I dream of going into every winter. I just love the landscape. Also, I'm really intrigued for next weekend. Way out there still but it seems like there's a lot to be interested in. Maybe the thing I'm liking most is the advertised amount of QPF...if only that can translate to white gold; well, a lot of us would probably stop and give the winter an A right then and there. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My lowest temp was 20.3 at 10:54pm. 24.4 currently. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
At 3pm my temperature at home was 32.8, making it the first time above freezing since January 23rd. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yesterday's high of 62 in Great Falls, Montana was 4 degrees higher than the 58 recorded in Key West, Florida. Many areas in Miami-Dade experienced a hard freeze the past 2 nights. At Walt Disney World, the dancing fountains at Epcot were frozen over for the first time since the park opened in 1982. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
People in North Carolina seem bewildered that they lost so much of their snowpack on a 30 degree day. Full sun + powder snow = no chance of lasting. So grateful for all of the ice in our pack. That's what's maintaining our landscape. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah I think so. And with the breeze and some clouds my temp is off to the races. I was 7.3 at 7pm. Currently it's 13.6. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
74,575 at Beaver Stadium this afternoon. Not too shabby for a college hockey game in 15 degree weather. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
@Blizzard of 93 it's going to snow again and probably sooner than later. Maybe a small event or two over the next couple of weeks before a window for something bigger opens around mid February. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I actually think tonight is my best chance of getting close to 0. I'm already down to 15.4 after a high of 20.7. Give me several hours of clear skies this evening and that might do the trick.
