Itstrainingtime

44 and sunny here currently.

I like it when you talk like this. Much respect for your thoughts.

That looks a lot like the event a few weeks ago when those N&W of MDT got snow while we rained.

That's correct. A bunch in here were laughing at the outlandish output...that storm forever sealed the deal for me to never discount the NAM. Flaws and all.

I think? January 16 was all snow? I sort of remember driving home from work at 5pm as the snow was starting.

That's what I'm hoping for. Weather is REALLY fickle out there - last December they received 191" of snow. In January they got 0". Hoping they get into some atmospheric river events and keep piling it up!

I had to...stay in mine. LOL After receiving .33" of rain yesterday, no measurable precip has fallen here today.

It felt noticeably warmer this morning than yesterday. More like an October day.

These are the weeks when I most covet snow - love the shortened hours when snow has an opportunity to melt.

.32" of rain has fallen here so far. Drizzle, fog and 45 now.

I appreciate that. Truly. At the same time, I'm not looking to offend people and drive them away. Personal decision. I'm stopping sports and MU content.

Also, I am guilty more than most on here with my sports BS. I will cease that immediately.

I post comments from MU because: - He's a met from our local area - People have told me that they appreciate reading his thoughts. I did not think that was wrong. My bad.

There's a solid perspective/assessment from 2 mets.

He certainly didn't seem overly excited about what he was seeing in the pattern. He acknowledged that there were a couple of things working for us, but he's also been adamant that there are issues to be resolved as well. For example, late December 2021 featured a strong -NAO and Lanco finished up at +8 for a temp departure: "For anyone thinking that Greenland blocking (a -NAO) guarantees snow and cold for the mid-Atlantic States, you need only look back to last #December. The NAO was - for the last two weeks of the month, but temps were still 8°F above normal for the month at @millersvilleu.. The combination of a deep trough over western North America & ridging over the Southeast "offset" the -NAO & caused there to be very little snow and cold in southeastern PA. Although #December2022 should be chillier, we MAY see a modified version of this pattern." It's only 12/6 so a lot can and probably will change, but the overall tone/demeanor has gotten notably more somber over the past several days.

Rain/drizzle and 36. .14" of rain so far.

LOL - that's why I'm supposed to get the facts before responding. I didn't follow my own HR 101 protocols.

Weak sauce - mowing in what appears to be a coat plus long pants. Haven't done that since...not sure I've ever done that. MA posters were talking over the weekend about their "snow mows" that they do in advance of the first seasonal snowfall. Glad I have lots of company with that. My mower's ready...just waiting for go time...

45 here just past noon.

Elliott shared the following over the weekend: "For anyone thinking that Greenland blocking (a -NAO) guarantees snow and cold for the mid-Atlantic States, you need only look back to last #December. The NAO was - for the last two weeks of the month, but temps were still 8°F above normal for the month at @millersvilleu.." And he went on to say this: "By the end of next week and beyond, uncertainty in the forecast increases significantly. A large-scale pattern change featuring the development of pronounced, high-latitude blocking will get underway this weekend and continue to mature next week. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is projected to turn strongly negative as a large, Jet Stream ridge develops over Greenland. How the strength, location, and orientation of this "Greenland Block" evolves will play a crucial role in determining how our weather plays out during the middle of the month. These blocking patterns traditionally support a greater likelihood of accumulating snow in the I-81 and I-95 corridors, but they don't guarantee it. In addition, numerical computer models are notoriously bad at handling Greenland blocking and exhibit drastic, run-to-run differences. If you're a snow- or winter-weather lover, then you want the blocking high pressure system to ultimately shift to the south/west of Greenland and become oriented north-to-south. At this distance, only a fool would pretend to know IF and WHEN this might happen. There's plenty of "hype" on social media with respect to winter weather "potential" in the mid-Atlantic during the middle of the month, but just remember that you can't shovel potential!"

20 this morning in Maytown.

62 at 3:10pm.

Variably cloudy and 60 on the nose in Maytown.

A nice .37" of rain fell here. Currently up to 56 here with some breaks.

I was gonna... It's a beautiful early December day out there.