Itstrainingtime

MU Weather Center @MUweather The talk of the town is now Sunday’s potential storm. However, the main players remain unchanged from today’s system. With no blocking and no 50/50 low, I’m not biting on the nonsense shown on today’s GFS run. A flatter, weak wave and progressive system is most likely (EURO).

Euro isn't buying what the GFS is trying to sell. Yet.

My once a year snow map share: That is WAY west of 6z. Let's see what happens with the rest of the suite.

Sure is. My trip to the sunshine state looks like it's getting moved up 24 hours to Saturday. I'm driving, and I'm going to have to get really far south to miss this on Sunday morning. Snow practically gets down to Brunswick GA.

Thank you for 1, providing your customary great stats and B, providing me with a headache trying to digest all of the numbers and percentages. You left out the percentage of times in history that Pittsburgh is looking for a new head football coach.

There certainly is a bit of a feelin of "here we go again" starting to settle in; however, IF, and it's a big if, if we can get the southern stream open up later this month, I like our chances. This is an antsy time on this forum because there's enough showing on indices to keep positive people optimistic about future chances, but we're seeing enough can-kicking right now to feed the negative folks with enough sauce to start complaining. Even over the past couple of years when we were stuck in an overall unfavorable pattern, we got enough good looks that were advertised to be coming but either never did show up or if they did, did not produce. So now when the good looks get pushed back again, the I told you so comments start flying. A few weeks ago many thought that most of January would be rocking, today's sentiment is we're looking at the last week of the month into mid February. I really do see and empathize with both sides/viewpoints. I think there's enough showing to be optimistic and I think there's been enough can-kicking that it's natural to be skeptical.

It's really hard to take someone seriously who constantly calls other people stupid when that guy can't spell or use punctuation correctly. Not to mention, he's not that good. (accurate)

I finished with .51" of rain. It was a rough weekend. In full disclosure - I've been a fan of Jacksonville since they entered the league in 1995. Growing up I was a diehard Colts fan. When they left Baltimore after the 1983 season (I was 19) and moved to Indy, I despised them. I started following the Eagles and Steelers but never really gave my heart to them like i had with the Colts. So when Jacksonville got an expansion team, I started to root for them. I still to this day root for Pitt and Philly but my true NFL allegiance is in NE Florida. I've traveled to watch them play and have also seen 2 games in Jacksonville. Needless to say, my heart was shredded every bit as much yesterday as yours was the night before. Only difference is that Jax has never won anything, which made yesterday hurt even more. Good news I guess is, while I'm not a Bills fan per se, I love Josh Allen. He is my favorite player in the NFL. I'm hoping the Bills go on a run and finally exercise their demons.

Not sure what happened with him. Just seems "off" lately. I like to give people the benefit of the doubt, but when sharing thoughts in the public sector it's important to maintain some level of normalcy.

After MU said on Friday he would issue a special storm outlook tomorrow, today he said this: Tell me the models have been terrible & overamplified with nearly every system in recent weeks/months without telling me. Why haven't I posted about the "potential big storm?" It's simple. With no high-latitude blocking or a 50/50 low, I never saw any potential to begin with.

I have not heard the wind once here today. Not complaining!

Sunday is alive as well. My thought on this right now? Thursday seems like a decent chance to get "some" snow. Sunday seems like perhaps a bit smaller chance but comes with potentially a bigger upside.

WTF?

I'm mobile and can't really model watch - anything on the Euro for next Saturday/Sunday?

I want it to come as early as possible since I'm driving to Florida next weekend. I'm rooting against the second window because of that. I'm all in on a storm on the 15th.

Lanning's body language says it all. No hyped up shaking tonight.

Penn State's loss to Indiana is looking really impressive in hindsight.

Add the MU warminsta to the group who is invested in next weekend's storm. Says the event centered around Thursday will just be a frontal passage, but he's going to be issuing a first look outlook for next weekend on Tuesday. For him to say that now, he's onboard. (not that we need that but if HE'S onboard, it's telling.)

This post could have gotten several different reactions...all appropriate.

Next Thursday through MLK weekend has incredible potential. Of course, I'll be heading to Florida in the middle of all of it.

Was just coming to post this - man, the storm a few days earlier is THIS close to being an east coast nuke bomb.

Well that sucked. I always assumed that Lancaster City and Columbia Borough were the last 2 districts to close, but I didn't pay attention that super close.

WSBA also had Operation Snowflake! And yes, I would wait anxiously when the new update would come on and the guy would say "we have a long list of schools that were previously delayed that have now decided to close." I used to get mad, Octorara was always the first to close followed by Pequea Valley. Of course, as an adult, it's easy to understand why they were closed. Fortunately, Penn Manor was "rural enough" that we closed more often than not. I got really fired up when Hempfield closed and Penn Manor didn't. Stupid Hempfield. Yeah @Mount Joy Snowman I'm looking at you right now.

We got spoiled by so many big daddy storms over the past 15-20 years that a lot of younger snow freaks think it's much more common than what it really is. Having said that, you're right. It seems like forever since a true Miller A came lumbering up out of the Gulf and headed for the benchmark. I think we're due for that...

Thank you! Being a snow hound/weather nerd was obviously a lot different when I was growing up. I mostly relied on TV/radio forecasts, NOAA weather radio and watching Weather World. Even as a kid I was keen in picking up on clues as to whether or not it was time to get excited. Elliott Abrams was my go-to radio guy, Weather World was the authority on TV. I'm such a geek, I even remember the names of the NOAA radio guys I listened to 45 years ago...Bob Kurl was my favorite - "at 9pm, NOAA weather radar indicates a rapidly expanding area of snow...the snow extends from central PA down into Central VA, and is moving slowly to the northeast at 10mph." At that, I would be literally dancing through the house. That was the only "visual" that I had. On school nights, I would tuck my little transistor radio in bed with me and once my parents were asleep I would turn that baby on and listen to overnight updates on WSBA (AccuWeather) while getting out of bed multiple times and turning on the floodlight to see if snow had arrived yet. I was like this until...well, when I was...60. Wait. That's how old I am now.