Itstrainingtime

"Feels" like spring is imminent based on the vibe of the thread. Posts are slowing down noticeably. TBD if we get something later in March.

Just read a comment from MillvilleWx in the MA thread that expectations need to be in check for early next week - top end amounts will be in the 2-4" range at best, and that's for those who are in the bullseye. He admitted he's not invested in it and he is moving on to spring.

GFS now essentially has moved completely south of the M/D line.

8.8" for the "main event" - that's what I was looking for, thank you! Based on everything that I was reading while I was away I went with 8" for the storm. Assuming that I might have done a wee bit better I might adjust up to 9".

I wasn't sure if I should laugh or thank you for this so I did neither. You know, I'm guilty of assuming our average is a bit higher than those numbers. In my head I consider average around 30" because i think that's what it used to be. I've got incomplete data this winter due to me being in Florida in January - what did you record for your total for that event?

Yes sir. If no more snow fell here, I'd grade this winter as a B. Just can't give it more than that when finishing below normal snowfall. Temp grades out at an A, snow cover grades an A, but total snowfall right now is a C-. That averages out to a solid B. One more significant (4"+) snow moves me up to a B+ and anything over 6" probably moves this to at least an A-. Now...comparing the reality of this winter vs expectations going in? It's already easily an A. No way did I foresee weeks of continuous snow cover this year.

GFS has been moving south on every run over the past 2 days with Monday's system. That trend needs to stop. As is, warning level snows are confined to south of the turnpike.

I think early next week looks pretty darn good for something wintry. Details are days away from being figured out.

Especially if you're south of the track.

I mentioned yesterday that Elliott seemed interested in Monday. He is, but he's also insisting that it will be a light to possibly moderate event. GFS snow maps are way overdone. We shall see!

Fortunately, NYC cashed in a bit and got an inch or two on top of the 2' they got on Monday.

As expected, no snow fell overnight. Low was 25 but it's already up to 34.

It took 18" of snow/sleet together to keep a solid snow cover for a full week after 3/13/1993. If it wasn't for all of that sleet it would have been gone in 2-3 days.

The "snow hater" met from a local university seems completely out for Thursday but does seem interested in early next week. Interesting.

High is in the perfect location for Monday's potential event. We'll need that look to hold to get what we want. Precarious situation with that but at least we're not worried about a redeveloper type of thing.

My Orioles and Phillies tickets were uploaded to my MLB Ballpark App last week. Let's go! We better enjoy this season...

Yep, and that was my point. Despite it being a dark, overcast day yesterday, there was enough solar radiation to do it's damage on my snow cover. When the sun angle is lowest the radiation is really mitigated. That's why I covet holiday snow...it coincides with the best staying power season.

My south-facing yard was 50% covered when I got home from work last evening, and what was covered was down to about 1-1.5". My more sheltered areas still had decent coverage. Just want to clarify that it didn't all disappear but it did take a beating.

This is very true. It's one thing to share thoughts with family and friends but when people's livelihoods are at stake it's an entirely different animal. So now, my forecast outlet is here. I'll be undercutting you a lot going forward, I'm quite sure of that.

I will "take" any snow we get, at the same time, I've now transitioned to bigger game hunting. Getting 2" of snow that is gone in 23 minutes doesn't excite me in late February and March. I'm investing in opportunities for storms that could deliver at least 6" or more. I think really it comes down to wanting to see snow on the ground for at least a day. You know, as far as sun angle goes, yesterday was exhibit A on how strong the sun is at this time of year...cloudy day, (shoot, snow was falling for a good part of it) temps in the mid 30s and yet my pack was decimated. Take the same conditions we had yesterday and move the calendar back to early January and our landscapes would have looked a lot different this morning.

Interesting going back to the threads from 2010-11, a lot of forgotten names along with a lot of us still here. It didn't take me long to find a Canderson post about winds.

How far back are you looking for? All of our threads since Eastern became Americanwx in 2010 are right here under the Upstate NY/Pennsylvania main subforum. If you're looking for older thread predating 2010 on Eastern, reach out to Randy (Stormtracker) and see if he can help.

1978 was the storm that really got me jacked up as a weather enthusiast. There were some similarities between that one and the one that we just missed out on. Since I was 12 at the time my memory is somewhat limited to my hand-kept records and I have one vivid memory of being awakened in the middle of the night by the winds. I remember opening my curtains and immediately freaking out in the very best way possible. The combination of snow and wind...one of those vivid childhood memories that I knew I'd never forget. I recorded 18" in Manor Township. That storm created a 9' drift in our driveway, my dad contacted the township and they used their "V Plow" to dig us out. That storm was a true blizzard and one I'd love to repeat. Just missed my chance of just that happening.

My cousin lives between Lewes and Georgetown in Sussex County DE. He sent me a measurement of 23.4" a while ago. No power and it's not expected back until Wednesday. The shore is shut down. They are going to try and get Coastal Highway open today but it's surreal right now in slower lower Delaware.

Just to clarify, I'm not "out" as in leaving here. I'm just tired of the hassle of being asked to make a forecast and then ridiculed for it because it isn't what they want to hear. I wanted to provide some context of why my forecast was so important to me. I'm sorry that I pushed it on all of you but I needed an outlet.