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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I don't know if it's the wind direction today or what but I am barely noticing it unless I'm near one of our west-facing windows. It seemed a good bit gustier earlier this morning. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
They are; however, my wife threw the red challenge flag stating that my mind is not secure... -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Took the trash out and got the mail. Tee shirt and shorts. #invigorating -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Coating achieved! Very thin but cars are covered and a few tracks on the road. :) -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You got wayyy more (very relative, I realize )than I did. Nothing is covered here other. Just a trace on car window trim. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Seeing reports of 4"+ with heavy snow still falling in central VA. What a great surprise for them today. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
MU ain't playing around with the wind threat: NW winds of 20-40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph will buffet the region on Sat. In addition, temps will plunge into the teens Sat morning with wind chills as low as -15°F throughout the day and -20 to -25°F at night. Exposed skin could develop frostbite in just 10-15 minutes. Roadways may be littered with debris from the high winds, as well. Uninsulated/unprotected pipes may freeze or burst, and widespread power outages are also likely. Stock up on extra water, food, blankets, coats, flashlights and other supplies late this week. Make sure you have a backup generator too. In the event of a power outage, the internal temp of your house may drop to unsafe levels in just 12-24 hours. Finally, fill your vehicle's gas tank to prevent fuel lines from freezing. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah my wind gusts were updated to 50 from 43mph earlier. Sigh. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
GFS now gives us wintry precip on Wednesday and has lost the VD weekend storm threat. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
@canderson - you mentioned yesterday how little CTP was talking about wind potential on Saturday. I see in my forecast this morning that they're mentioning gusts "only" to the low to mid 40s now. Did something happen that in reality will reduce the wind threat? -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Middle of the uprights scenario right there. Overnight Canadians were friendly to us - certainly looked like it was going to be a flush hit. Euro as depicted was very concerning to me. It drove temps into the 40s clear up to Montreal while I basked in the mid 50s during a driving rain storm. That would spell significant concerns along the Susky for ice jam issues... -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I met my son at the Nook this morning for some early hoop action. Driving across Prospect Road from 283 to Washington Boro my car fluctuated between 4 and 21. I was surprised to see how low I got last night. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
7.3 for my low. 8.2 as I head to work. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Fair enough, though my station isn't running hot. There are many wunderground stations between Elizabethtown and here at work that are between 35 and 40 right now. I'm sitting at 33.7. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Respectfully, if it isn't a big deal to you, then why did you question the accuracy of my station? -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Absolutely correct! I'm often as much as 5 or so degrees different than MDT. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My station is consistent with all of them around me. I believe it's just about 100% accurate. When I made my post, the Airpark down the road was 31. MDT has been consistently running lower than me for a couple of months now. Edit: Every station to my east is in the low to mid 30s. Every station between me and MDT is in the 28-31 range. Interesting. Still say my station is accurate. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yep, my low was a solid 15 degrees above forecast. My forecast high for today was 28, currently it's 32 at 9:25am. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
If you want snow as badly as what you've stated in this forum, why not look for positives to latch on to? It seems like you ONLY point out models that miss. I can't imagine that makes you feel good. Thing is, I'm both positive but also a realist. I will never hold on to "false hope" when I feel like it's not warranted. And sometimes I think I'm seen as a negative person when really, after years and years of going through disappointment and heartache when I latched on to something that ultimately failed, I've learned from that and am much more grounded today. But geez, there's enough out there to warrant some sort of hope that next weekend might produce some form of wintry weather. That's all we know right now. It's far from "likely" at this point and my outlook reflects that. But it's also not healthy to just pick and choose worst outcomes and piss on my cheerios every time you find it. Man, look for something positive for once. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The met from MU was touting -20 to -25 wind chills on Saturday. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
-25 wind chills! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I feel like Elliott at MU downplays wind almost as much as he does wintry weather. Having said that, he's already emphasizing that Saturday will feature 60mph winds... -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I think it's been a good 12 days or so since it's been above freezing officially? Looking at data it appears we were in the mid to upper 30s on the 22nd of January. That's one heck of an impressive run. We'll start another little streak in the coming days, too. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
GFS with a cutter-type system next Friday and then a follow up coastal BOMB 2 days later that obliterates Delmarva into the Northeast. It just misses us east but man, what a storm it would be as depicted. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Correct. My station only receives sunlight during late afternoon hours during peak sun angle season. During the winter months it's shaded 24 hours a day.
