lakeeffectkid383

Updated numbers show 912 deaths now. New York had almost 400 alone. This is is definitely turning up quickly but hoping maybe yesterday was just a blip but did see nearly 100 new cases in Erie County yesterday as well, now closing in on 600 cases here even with the Erie County Department of Health saying you will not get a test unless you are a healthcare worker, first responder, pregnant or elderly.

This is off. Erie is nearly 463 cases as of noon today...

It's a scary thing man. I really hope more people take it seriously. What's the harm in being over precautious? I know I'm being over precautious but what's so bad about it? Stay home, watch tv, movies, play video games/board games, spend time with my fiancé, my son, my dogs. Not too hard of a thing to do to try and keep everyone safe. I know a few people who have tested positive too, 2 of them are doing better but one of them is doing worse and she's not that old (woman in her 50s with no real underlying health conditions). Sending good vibes your way for your friend and his family man and hopefully they all make a speedy recovery.

Maybe now all these people screaming its no worse then the flu will stop with their non sense.

Definitley scary as it seems like the plan is to get people back to work after they have “recovered” which could be dangerous to any people working who haven’t yet had the virus...

Almost 100 new cases in Erie county confirmed today, even with extreme limited testing. 89 new cases today (an increase of 30%). Up to 310 total cases in Erie County. Also another death in the County, woman in her 40s. Also over 300 U.S. deaths for the first time today, up to 312 deaths today. edit (10pm) page just updated before switching over to tomorrow’s Numbers (March 28), deaths just skyrocketed to 400 in the US. So not only did we reach our first 300 death day but we hit our first 400 death day

Even a 2.5% death rate is 25x that of the flu...

Agreed and not sure Italy is even peaking and their deaths are still rising. They may be at testing capacity so the number of cases is staying steady state as they are only testing the relative same number of cases each day where if they tested more each day they would find a further increase in positive cases.

That and they are finally getting more testing there combined with the fact all the big time partiers were down south for spring break (ex. N.O. , Florida Beaches)

Cases are steady but those deaths are definitley a new high for them. Very sad. I think with extremely limited testing all over (even probably including NYC relative to their population) were going to see an Italy trend here in the US were the daily cases may reach a certain point and kind of level off in a range due to a testing capacity where we are unable to test beyond a certain point thus not able to see the number of cases still increase. Meanwhile deaths will keep rising as deaths don’t really have much correlation with testing (unless they’re testing in the hospital after they’ve arrived with symptoms even if they came in with no test prior to being admitted). Hopefully I am wrong but just don’t see how this is even close to peaking here.

From someone in the central PA thread. This is part of my anger with lack of testing. “I just read on my twitter feed a person who's friend that was 25 died from COVID-19 and they said how walking a little made them feel like they ran a mile. They ended up dying after being denied testing and not considered a priority because they didn't meet the criteria for testing despite having every single symptom and being extremely sick. The people said they couldn't prove they were around someone that had Covid so they were denied. Extremely sad. Keep an eye on your family member. This 25 yo went into cardiac arrest after not getting to a hospital after 2 weeks. People who are young think they're invincible from this but I'm young and pretty worried. Well tbh I'm petrified of giving this to my parents or grandparents.“

Cases are beginning to skyrocket in Erie County and that’s even with extremely limited testing. Up to 221 cases and now up to 5 deaths. We were at 1 death in the county this morning. Buffalo Police Officer also in critical condition in a medically induced coma.County executive said today there were 31 hospitalizations when there were only 146 cases so we’re likely over 50 hospitalizations in Erie county. This is getting scary fast.

Don’t believe any of the BS they tell you. New England Journal of medicine showed viability of the virus on paper and cardboard for up to 24 hours. If a mail handler, clerk, or carrier is infected even if they don’t know and they come in contact with it and you touch it there is a possibility you could be infected from it. I would recommend leaving all your mail in your mailbox for 24 hours then bringing it inside, wipe off your mailbox with a disinfectant wipe daily and wash your hands immediately after going through your mail.

Almost 13.5k new cases and nearly 250 deaths are both a pretty sizable increase from the days before

I agree with you on the symptomatic aspect, however when there are people that are showing symptoms and are still being denied testing due to very limited kits available that is still skewing the numbers. Those illnesses that you listed you can get tested/screened for if there's a concern where here you can not. You can't just say that doesn't have an effect on the total number of cases which in turn has an effect on the mortality rate... I agree with what Delta said that it seems you have a 4-5% mortality rate among those who are moderate/severely sick with this virus but I still think it's still somewhat lower because as I stated I have a friend that is very ill who's mother tested positive and now he and his father are both very sick and are trying to be tested but are told by the county that they can not be tested at this time because of their age and overall health in good condition prior to this virus and that they test need to be saved for essential personnel...

Again though this is of tested cases which is going to skew the numbers a lot. Right now the only people getting tested at least locally are the ones with the most severe symptoms or those who have been exposed to someone with an already positive test which is very limited since there were several days that Erie County had no reagents to preform test so basically you need to either be extremely ill or have come in direct contact with the 122 in Erie county that already tested positives and show symptoms to even get tested. I know numerous people who have been in DIRECT CONTACT with someone testing positive and are now showing symptoms but because they are young they are being told they will not receive any testing and to just monitor their symptoms at home. This doesn’t even include the thousands of not hundreds or thousands that likely have the virus and are asymptomatic and will never be counted since they don’t know they have it (still dangerous, if not more dangerous to the public since they can still spread it). This is a serious serious illness and I am taking every precaution I can to protect my family but I know that these death rates are definitely skewed with lack of/testing availability.

Can you post please?

122kt at the surface in the SW eyewall on the latest dropsonde.