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Everything posted by The Iceman
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Euro brings snow into our area now 06z 00z -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
CMC near miss, weird weird surface reflection though. Has like a triple barrel low at hour 96. Convective feedback? -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Crazy gradient. But just that tick, I went from 1 inch at 18z to 5” at 00z. Most of south jersey gets pummeled. I can’t stay up for the euro tn but encouraging that the gfs keeps improving… -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Hm I have no idea, my dad’s records only go back to 1977, he started keeping track as a science project in high school and just kept with it… not really a weather nerd like me but he loves snow lol. In our combined tally of snow totals, 95-1996 was our snowiest winter at 75.6”. Do you happen to know what the tally for 57-58 was? -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I was thinking this in Trenton today…absolute nightmare still! But other areas are really stacked high too. Another foot even and it’ll be really dangerous driving around. I saw dump trucks full of snow going somewhere, I know there’s a snow dump off Perry street in Trenton. Do they still dump it in the Delaware river? I think I remember that being a thing before. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
My 30 year average in Levittown was 22.3”. I would say 30” for DYL is not far off. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
besides the possible storm, anyone else excited to potentially go below zero Thursday and Friday night? I can’t remember the last time my area went below zero let alone twice in a row… serious cold. Cold of yore. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Absolutely i can easily at the very least see this being a little 1-3/2-4” refresher as we get grazed like how the gfs is right now…. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I’ll take a hold, several encouraging things from that run. Tilts negative earlier, just need the confluence to lighten up a little and that run is a mauling. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
New WPC discussion is a fantastic read -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
FYI that was a positive bun what are the key differences between the GFS and EURO, because it doesn't look far off at all at 500 MB. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Man, there is nothing more that I want to do than watch models roll in all day, unfortunately it's my busiest week of the year with W-2's due out, and we're a day behind due to the snow. From the brief look at the ICON, GFS, and CMC, positive trend at 12z. Glancing blows but we are a longggggggggg way away from anything set in stone. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Ots but there are still a few big hitters. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Bro we don’t care if it misses or not, you are literally contributing nothing though. We all know how to look at the models. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
This feature circled has trended further southeast almost every run, I have no idea if this is affecting the outcome but it was above Montana/north Dakota on the flush euro hits yesterday and today it’s in southern Minnesota. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Don’t forget 2 weekends ago we went from a miss se to 4-6” for most. i could use a break from shoveling though. I’ve always been anti snowblower, but today has really made me rethink that stance. My neighbor blew his blower out today trying to blow this cement. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yep, I still think we may have to worry about it being too tucked to the coast based on how last week played out. It’s a different set up but this ain’t over by a long shot. I’m out right now but I’m curious to actually see the euro and euro ai, I wonder if that low to the west that it had at 00z(believe it was in Montana or north of that) had anything to do with it. I saw it earlier and thought if that feature is any faster it possibly shunts everything east. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
963 at the benchmark . I’m with Heisy, I think I'm more concerned with a super tucked solution than a miss east at this point. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
It's exactly where we want it to be at this point imo. Comes together slightly too late for us but I'm encouraged that it's another model that has jumped on the idea of being an intense low off the east coast next weekend. -
I can’t stand either team so I watched Star Wars empire strikes back instead. Probably hadn’t watched it since I was a kid. happy that mcvay lost, can’t stand him. Dude will probably threaten to retire now.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
It’ll be 2010 all over again if this happens, I know most places only got under a foot but the snow piles this morning are already something else. With little melting this week, where the fuck would 20” of snow even go? Yeesh. but man would that be an EPIC storm to experience. Keep expectations low as we saw how much changes even inside day 4, but I don’t know how any self proclaimed weenie can look at that euro run and not feel a little tingle. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
The Iceman replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
We definitely had a tenth of ice as well overnight. The cars and my path I shoveled had a glaze of ice overtop. This mess isn’t going anywhere soon.
