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The Iceman

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Everything posted by The Iceman

  1. Pixie dust here, better echoes beginning to move in. Should really get going in the next hour
  2. Good morning people! Brewing a cup of coffee waiting for the first flakes, radar looks great. Think we are going to thump hard.
  3. Setting the alarm for 3 am, hope we are snowing decent by then. Temp steady at 16F. Looks like first echoes heading into reading/chester, anyone getting flakes?
  4. You’re in it 16F/-4 dp I’m surprised their doesn’t seem to be much virga
  5. Zero shot, none. Cold air means business, there’s no way we go above freezing
  6. Tired hands good choice. I’m more of an Alien Church guy, but can’t knock anything by them. Their owner is a great dude too.
  7. Starts at or after 06z, change over starting at 18z s to n, storm ends between 00z and 06z Monday. I do think this will be fairly long duration.
  8. Based on nothing but the vibe of the winter and the air mass overhead, I think this performs better than expected. I’m sticking with my original first call. But I won’t be surprised if totals are on the higher end of this. 3-6” - shore points extreme snj 6-12” - 95/195 corridor 10-16” N and W of 95 with lollipops of 20” for whoever stays all snow. i don’t think anyone sees significant freezing rain either.
  9. I was thinking the same, my high currently is 18F. Seriously cold airmass overhead. Coldest high of the season.
  10. Am I foolish for not starting my generator today? I’m refusing to believe freezing rain is going to be that serious of an issue this far N… am I being obtuse?
  11. He used to post here rarely, wonder if he ever still checks in. @hurricaneschwartzwhat are your thoughts on this storm?
  12. I feel like I got more with that storm than with VD but I might be misremembering. Time to access @famartins storm archive!
  13. I think it was 2017 or 2018, I remember this also. There’s been several sleet ruiners in the last ten years. Feb 2021 would have been an all timer if we didn’t sleet half the storm. We ended up with a foot then or slightly over I think but 2” of that was sleet.
  14. lol imagine watching the models past 48 hours and thinking anything of that sort with happen. “The big ones are sniffed out at long range” is a myth.
  15. I think you're in a great spot for a foot John, enjoy! I don't think you'll see a ton of mixing either, if any. Smart man moving further NW
  16. Yeah I came of age in the warmer years, it’s always been this sleet crap for me
  17. Go with what Mt. Holly says, none of us in here are as qualified as those guys. Really though there is little difference practically between 5-10 and 6-12". Maybe a tenth of freezing rain at the end but I wouldn't expect serious ice problems.
  18. 20 years ago was VD 2007. That had a stronger primary further west but then again that's why we are going to get way more snow with this one. I need to go back and look at the surface maps, but this storm is starting to remind me of that one with the huge high overhead. Edit: found it! look familiar? Like I said not as strong with the primary as 07 but looks fairly similar set up to me.
  19. I think the 2000's/early 2010's really shifted perspectives to how climo actually is in this region... Philadelphia itself has only gotten a 10" or more snowstorm 31 times since 1883. Averages out to like 1 every 5 years. It really isn't a common occurrence, never was.
  20. I disagree with this wholeheartedly. Climo has always favored NW areas of this region for as long as I've been alive. Hell the Fall Line definition in MT holly has always been N and W of 95.
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