The Iceman

well the maybe he should say that instead of shitting all over the thread with inaccurate one liners.

It’s not even out yet you fucking clown

That’s cool still a far cry from 70+ as was stated in the beginning of Feb…

We got 16" on Boxing day, 10 miles away got 6". Insane gradient.

The ignore feature only works if you jokers stop quoting! GFS is a big hit for 95 through SNJ.

The fog and rain the next 3 days are going to do damage. By the time Sunday comes around, I'd bet there's not much left other than piles.

what's funny is that the OP euro has been brutal this winter too...not GFS bad but still pretty bad. The AI euro is crushing the OP euro in verification scores last I saw...it's going to be a clear upgrade once it's fully integrated.

Well if Newman, Heisy, and Ralph are all excited for 12z runs, fuck it I’m in too I will add, the track of the primary brings me concern on both the GFS and Euro AI, I know they show snow right now but I think it would be hard for us not to change over to sleet if that track is correct. Icon is a great start to 12z though wow. That’s just about a perfect outcome…

I’m going to lmao if this verifies. So much for 70s the first week of march.

MJO has a lag effect fyi

10 events on the season now for 27.4”, not too shabby. I would still be shocked if we don’t hit 30”.

Yeah but without arctic temps locked in/not really on this side of the globe, do we rain instead of stay to sleet? Stay tuned.

I think they thought 1-2” with the temps there’d be no issues with the roads but yeah everything is covered even down here. Definitely slippery out imo. Just hit the inch mark.

Im sure that won’t change maybe a half inch so far? Coating over everything. Pillow flakes

All snow now and trying to stick. Temp down to 34F

Snow/rain mix. 35F nice size flakes…

Can I crash at casa de red sky? I think you’re in the best spot for this abomination lol

Don’t look now but radar out towards York and Lancaster looks pretty good… if temps can crash someone in Chester or norther bucks/montco is gonna get a couple inches imo

It never fails! 36 hours out!

Let’s bring it on home lots of ways this can go wrong… but it’s looking right now like 1-3” region wide with the potential for maybe more or nothing. With the event 36 hours out, I think it’s safe now to say there will be an event though. Final amounts tbd. I’m trying to manifest 3.6” though to get to 30” on the year. 48F right now.. cooking this afternoon. Outside in a T shirt lol

Just another wrinkle like Newman said is that accumulations are going to be rate dependent. It’s cooking out there today, temp here is 48F. A long duration light event won’t do, we will really need rates for it to accumulate. Timing is on our side being overnight. I think 1-3” is a safe forecast for now, bust potential high on both ends though. It won’t surprise me if I have 6” Monday morning or it’s raining lol

This still has all the makings of a rug pull, I think we have all said that since early week, but damn if I’m not getting sucked in…

stolen from the mid atlantic forum... euro AI EPS trending cooler as well and backs up the OP. It'll be fun to watch until 18z

Pretty crazy spread

If there was one model I would want vs everyone it's the Euro AI. It's been killing it this winter. However, it has been very erratic with this event, I don't think I've seen it make this big of a swing in the mid range like this. Probably not done changing, but I am intrigued it came on board. With such a thread the needle look, odds are against it, but there are definite paths to snow. You could also look at the Euro AI as leading the way as it was the first one to keep things suppressed and finally all the other models trended to it and it ticks north. 18z will be telling if this was just a blip.