The Iceman

@PhiEaglesfan712you brought up 94-95 in another thread and I spent my lunch break looking into that winter, that is a very good sneaky analog. Not as strong of an el nino but the solar and PDO are pretty good fits. Outside of this storm, it was a pretty bleak winter. Kind of like 2015-2016 though

I'm far from a pro but the hobbyist in me thinks this winter is going to be a struggle. I think pac air will flood the continent and we struggle to get the cold air necessary for snow. I foresee a lot of cold rain. My guess for SE PA/NJ/DE would be 5 - 10" and most of that in one or two storms that either start as snow or end as snow. Super balls to the wall east based Nino rarely plays out well here. I hope I'm wrong but I'm heading into winter with measured expectations. Euro weeklies looked pretty bleak imo, storm tracks look underneath of us but the continent is flooded with warm pac air. Perfect track rainstorms may be the theme much like 97-98. I do think it'll be wet though so there's a chance snowfall could end up surprising like 2015-2016 if everything comes together in a favorable week or two period(cold air, blocking). I don't see a 6 week hard freeze like last year thats for sure... I think DJF temps averages +2 - +4, precip is above normal, snow below normal. I honestly just hope we don't get skunked again like 19-20 or 22-23. Temps: Dec +1 - +3 Jan +2 - + 4 Feb +3 - +5 Precip: Dec: Above average Jan: Average Feb: Above Average

Crazy how we’ve got from non stop rain to absolutely no rain for 2+ weeks potentially.

And if that happened ten years later Stevens would have been thrown out of the league… great win by the fly guys tonight, watch em win ten straight now lol

At least I have the Braves

.4” overnight and into this morning. 2.5” on the storm. Still light rain/misting this morning.

2.1” on the storm 7.2” on the month

.6” this morning looks like a lull in precipitation/spotty showers mostly this afternoon before maybe another slug of moisture overnight? Winds have also died down.

Maybe it’s just because there’s still so many leaves but it sounds like the wind is overperforming out there… wish I had an anemometer. Trenton airport has gusted over 40 several times overnight though which is pretty impressive this far inland especially since it’s not the peak. Saw some impressive gusts at the shore too think the highest I saw was 77 mph.

CMC and GFS took a step towards the EE solution but it's crazy how far off they remain from the euro/icon/NAM. Euro leading the way would be quite the coup, no other model was even close at day 4.

The old EE rule in effect now... would be crazy tidal flooding I would think with the prolonged NE fetch.

It is actually insane the amount of model spread we have 48 hours out. Euro/euro AI continues to give most of the area a legit northeaster, GFS/CMC continue to be a glancing blow. ICON/`NAM have moved in the EURO camp. The RGEM is in the GFS/CMC camp. If this was snow, people would be losing their minds lol

Trash model

.4” overnight/this morning 5.5” for September

All he does is win, same with Sirianni. I don’t care what it looks like, anyone you replace them with is just not going to replicate that success. It’s the golden era of eagles football. That was one of Hurts best passing games imo, first pick was bad but I see the intent, he was trying to put into a tight space and got burned… second pick wasn’t his fault at all, that’s a TD if the o line can block. He made some big time throws yesterday though and that should only improve as he gets more comfortable in the system.