The Iceman

Sigh one of these days we’ll have an event that isn’t a complete snoozer. Not gonna be today though

Yeah we had that brief downpour around noon and then nada. Honestly doesn’t feel as humid as earlier either. I doubt that line makes it through se pa intense but hopefully it holds enough for a period of steady rain. Was surprised to see the tornado watch for our area tbh

I thought we’d see more development out ahead of the front but it’s all been pushed NE. I’ll be surprised if the stuff out west holds together, doesn’t even feel humid out here with the wind.

Already a quick .40” from a cell that popped right over me. Radar lighting up to the west, I think we see multiple areas of flash flooding this afternoon.

The 12z 3k nam for tomorrow would be a flash flood disaster. 3-6+”(I saw lollipops of 10”) plus of rain right along the I-95 corridor.

Hyped severe weather underdelivers like 99% of the time in this area. Our best severe events are always like a random marginal or slight risk that over performs.

Not even close near me. .1” tops. Lasted 5 mins

Lower bucks and montco have gotten literally nothing… be thankful for .5”…

My guess is the Berks cell and and the supe to the SW are causing interference… as is though you and I are going to split the upright

Stuff in SE PA having a tough time getting going.

The cell in NW Jersey has a nice couplet on it right now. Another cell popping in burl co going into a good environment, debating crossing the river and intercepting

The NJ Governor just closed the state at 2 PM, I guess this is going to be bad

Meh heavy rain but that’s it. I will say the thunder got me out of my desk to check was going on though lol looks like LV is initiating now, probably kills their severe threat and might kill ours too to the south

That cell in central bucks quickly went supercellular. I’d expect a severe thunderstorm warning on it soon

Great write up Newman, was hoping to hear your thoughts I’m really liking my backyard we are in a great spot for instability and shear.