The Iceman

In the pro's we trust!

@Ralph Wiggum Mt holly says conservative calls are for squares!

EPS still looking good...

Looking at some of the soundings, I just really question that would be freezing rain honestly. I don't see it. Temps are like 18-19F for most of the area and even the warmest levels are just barely above 0c,they aren't scorching. Looks more like sleet in my opinion.

I went to 4 different spots last night and couldn't find any. Ended up settling for pool salt at wal-mart(it does the same thing, just not as concentrated). 20 lb bag for like 9 bucks

I’ve personally never witnessed freezing rain with temps in the teens(may have happened in 94 i don’t know I was 3) but that’s what the euro shows. Yikes.

Euro is much drier, hopefully a blip. But significantly cuts back the thump by .2-.3 LE.

Was wondering that myself, thank you for clarifying! Unbelievable how bullish the NBM is right now. The NBM is a blend of the GFS/GFS ensembles, NAM nest, and euro/euro ensembles correct?

This is including the next weekend storm too... but yeah "Gigiddy".

It had the low end for me(TTN area) at 10" and the high end at 23". 50% chance of 18" or more... I have to think both go down next briefing but who knows. That was extremely bullish though I agree.

pretty impressive this is still so high.. Isn't the NBM a blend of the GFS, GFS ensembles, NAM nest, and Euro/euro ensembles?

I've seen this movie before... GFS being the coldest solution rarely works out, but this airmass is super cold... I still think we see a lot of sleet at least in the 95 corridor. Good thing is the NAM puts down 8-12" of snow before that.

First call: 3-6” snow/sleet/ice shore points extreme snj 6-12” snow/sleet 95/195 corridor to SNJ 8-16” snow/sleet N and W of the fall line.

Extremely bullish briefing by mt holly. Wow. https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf

Euro also 8-12” then ice. Looking good! Time for bed. First call coming in the morning