The Iceman

I just want to add to the conversation over yesterday’s event and the very poor job of messaging for this event. Tornado watches were cancelled by 6 pm so he had thought he was in the clear and ended up getting caught out in that awful squall line because he and many others out last night other assumed the worst was over. I have no idea why we didn’t transfer into a severe thunderstorm watch. SPC did a terrible job all around yesterday imo they overplayed the tornado threat and downplayed the wind threat after the tornado threat failed. NWS did great getting the warnings out in a timely matter but I still think people were not anticipating the strength of that line last night.

RIP he went back to the easternwx days maybe further.. Always such a respectful poster.

My buddy texted me that he was driving home from Hatfield Ice and that there’s tons of tree damage and debris in the roadways across central and lower bucks.

TTN gusted to 58, I was going to guess at least 60 mph winds here.

Tornado warning! Couplet went right over McGuire Air Force base

Temp already down to 49F , we were at 61 before the squall.

That squall line really delivered wow. Crazy winds associated with it, can’t ever remember seeing flashes in the distance from transformers blowing. You could hear the roar of the wind too before it was on top of us. Reminded me of the derecho a few years ago just without the lightning. Can’t believe we still have power

Hey SPC if you’re looking to replace the jabroni’s that blew it today, I’m available anyway getting another soaking rain at the very least, most of the area should finish over an inch qpf. This month has delivered on the moisture so far.

It is for me

yeah the hype for today has been unbelievable, you'd think the 1974 super outbreak was happening... I have family scattered all around the east coast and all of them have been asking me what's going on with the tornado outbreak. I understand preparing the public to be storm aware but closing schools and stuff is so silly...

Had a few tropical downpours in the last hour with more downstream, severe threat looks DOA but should be a good gully wash at least.

60% of 2 or more tornado's, 30% EF 2 or stronger. 80% wind probs.

I would be surprised if we see widespread severe now. The stuff from last night is beginning to re intensify and is likely going to come into our area early this afternoon but there just isn't going to be instability in place. The best dynamics are in place after that but this afternoon stuff is going to sap all the instability and moisture. Maybe some gusty winds still with the front passing through but it continues to look less and less interesting here. Will still be a significant temp drop at least.

See SEPA is totally screwed severe wise if the HRRR is right, this crap at 18z tomorrow basically ruins the entire threat, dc into central pa though look under the gun

Ehhh overnight runs shifted the threat more towards Lehigh valley and Lancaster for our area. Some of the meso’s now are bringing a lot of crapvection throughout the day and the QLCS breaks up and weakens as it approaches SE PA with zero instability. Mid Atlantic/DC area looks primed for a tornado outbreak though. It’s going to come down if the QLCS line can hold together or not for us. That change and slightly later timing though has made this less exciting than yesterday for se pa imo