Like pumpkin spice and fall beers, this is too early, not to mention rarely correct. Though, other than the wet southern areas, I think this looks like a typical Niña.
Just my opinion, but I get good results when I aerate and then seed in early to mid September. I also put down milorganite at the same time to help get the seedlings going and feed the recovering fescue.
This reminded me of an article long ago.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2018/09/18/u-md-used-private-company-tornado-warning-that-can-be-problematic/
I’ll put this here since it’s Debby related, but two photos from my current vantage point atop Killington. First is looking north, and the second south.
edit: and just as I post this, it starts raining.