WestMichigan

I am right there with you. GRR is going to be at a 20"+ snowfall deficit for the year after this week. They have only recorded 0.4" for the year with is 0.3"+ more than I have. Still waiting for your first measurable snow in an area that average close to 80" a year is pretty bad.

It can snow here

Donut hole - look at a season to date map of Michigan and pick out the donut hole. I really don't think you have anything to complain about. https://mrcc.illinois.edu/cliwatch/GIS_plots/nohrsc/nohrsc_mrcc_seas.png

1", 10", 20", I don't care. I just want some flakes to fall IMBY. The snowfall deficits are getting pretty ugly around here. Might be worse in the UP in absolute numbers, but they have at least had snow this year. At least there is a sign that things might get a little more active. At this point I will take my chances with any precip falling from the sky. Eventually the blind squirrel will find a nut, especially in this part of the country.

Yeah, IMBY I had 2.08” of rain and maybe 12 flakes at the end but still waiting for first measurable snow of the season.

Certainly not the apocalypse many feared in the Midwest over the Thanksgiving time period.

Congrats. You just got more than I have seen this fall/winter.

Been there twice in the last three years. I agree 100% with you except the best poutine I had was in Ottawa. Not bad in Quebec City though. The old town is really nice. Definitely recommend going there if you have the chance.

I’d settle for cold temps and a west wind right now.

Call me what you want. My company has hired 245 people in the last month alone.

Has it? I am not an economist, but I haven't seen that locally. Maybe you have?

I am wondering if I can make it the entire month of December and still have no measurable snow for the season. GFS is saying I have a chance at it.

And there were 11 at Thanksgiving where we went and we are all healthy. There are more of those stories than what you are sharing for sure.

When will this system finally be fully sampled?

GFS is a little faster and slightly SE of 12Z. Still a little warm here but baby steps. Now if it can continue a little more SE.

I agree, but that article was only about one piece of the puzzle. There are many more factors like you said and in places like Japan, there were more suicides in October than COVID deaths all year combined. I know they have a high suicide rate to begin with but that is a crazy statistic.

NAM says congrats MSP.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/327311/americans-mental-health-ratings-sink-new-low.aspx?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=855206&refcd=855206&utm_source=RevelantResources&seid= No one really wants to talk about it, but how many lives can we lose as "collateral damage" and no even bother to question it? These mental health statistics are just the tip of the iceberg. Is the cure worse than the disease? I don't know.

My snow drought might continue. Ridiculous cutoff across my county.

Looks like wagons north is the early theme today. RDPS is north along with the NAM.

Only 16 more model runs until we see what really happens.

Take a break from this. You need it.

GRR is toying with me We are still expecting a system to affect the area in the Friday through Sunday time frame. There are multiple upper troughs and cut off lows that come together in some fashion to bring the low to the lakes this weekend. The first trough is currently in the middle of the Pacific with a cut off low dropping south near Southern California. The waves come together over the plains on Friday with a low moving through the Great Lakes in the Saturday time frame. At this point, looking at the operational models, the Canadian is furthest northwest moving a low through Wisconsin. The GFS is more of a middle of the road track, moving the low through the GRR forecast area. The ECMWF is further southeast, tracking the low through Southeast Lower Michigan. 12z European ensemble low locations Saturday evening are starting to zero in on the southern Great Lakes area for the track of the low, so leaning towards a GFS or ECMWF solution. What this means is we are looking at a potentially impactful system this weekend with a rain to snow type of scenario. Wind is also in play depending on the depth of the low. Way too early to nail down any details at this point with this system, but we are certainly watching it. It appears we are looking at a period of lake effect snow as well on the backside, Sunday into Monday. More to come this week as details emerge.

I have had a trace on a couple of occasions, but unless it fell and night and melted before I could see it in the morning there hasn't been anything measurable. Look at the snow maps, there is a donut hole around this part of the state.