PhineasC
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Everything posted by PhineasC
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So I take it the 18z FV3 lost the BECS?
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What's the HUUURRR saying?
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Figures Chuck would be hugging the RAP. Fits the mental profile.
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You always do well. Snow starts early and ends late.
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LOL 4 inches coming soon.
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The true jackpot king right here.
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The forecast of 8-12 for DCA is a joke. They MIGHT record 5 or 6. Of course, just outside the airport could definitely verify those numbers.
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Of course you start snowing before many other people. Just as predicted. It won't stop snowing there until Monday. Fringe city!
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Is this really a cold powder storm at this point? It's not that cold.
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That LWX snow map is a little odd. Seems to shortchange southern MD a bit. DC won't get a foot if those areas are screwed.
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Fringe gang deathband building as usual. Sparky will have 4 inches on his deck by dusk.
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No man can predict what the NAM will do. It obeys no one or no law.
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It's going to be hard because it is going to start snowing all around you for hours before you get into it. Stay strong.
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Seriously. Best models days were just before the HECS events in 2009, 2010, and 2016 when the models dumped 2.5"+ liquid on us on every single piece of guidance. That FV3 plot is just silly impossible model porn that will change in 6 hours.
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Ji is doing his usual crack addict impression, ignoring snow about to start outside his window in favor of chasing the next fix 10+ days away.
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Models are playing catch up. The warning snows will be across the entire CWA by the time all is said and done.
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I'm sure it's totally normal for a storm to be puking snow from central NC to northern Maine at the same time.
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LWX in catch-up mode is always a good sign for snow.
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LOL at parsing the UKMET precip map.
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Don't overthink this. We will do fine. Super sharp cutoffs are never that precise. If DC gets 6-10, Baltimore will get 4-6 for sure.
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I would take the globals and smooth out the precip maps on them. They aren't going to be too good at nailing anything too specific in that regard. Snow max could end up anywhere from RIC to Mason/Dixon line.
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4-6 is reasonable for Baltimore unless the Euro craps the bed.
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Worries of mixing down south is great news. Keep them coming!
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Great illustration of how the north trend works.
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Ba da ba ba ba... I'm lovin' it.
