Jump to content

PhineasC

Members
  • Posts

    34,634
  • Joined

Everything posted by PhineasC

  1. Everyone decided to write this whole thing off as 50 degree rain.
  2. Front end thump then dryslot is still on the table.
  3. I was gonna send you a PM earlier about Mr Chill actually LOL but I forgot.
  4. The NAM blows, but wasn't it first to sniff out the last storm being much more north and wetter than the globals? NAM does well in a pattern where everything is wound up and wet.
  5. I agree. The infamous back-end snows often disappoint, but I can recall some cases where it surprised everyone. The models will not be able to get it right until very close in. Zero chance the GFS and Euro have it figured out now. They are still moving the major pieces hundreds of miles every six hours.
  6. This is definitely a better setup for you and psu to work that MD line magic, though.
  7. The weather gods know it's every man, woman, and child for themselves.
  8. A storm giving the northern tier good snow while semi-screwing the southern gang would balance the karma of things.
  9. How has Roanoke been doing the last few winters? Seems they have picked up every storm whether it went north or south.
  10. Freaking CHO. Because that means the storm is ridiculously close.
  11. During the 94 storms, I remember being able to skate on the front yard and having to use a chisel and hammer to remove the ice in places. These “light glaze” events we get now are a joke in comparison. So boring.
  12. But but but... what about my moderate rain at 31.5 degrees during the day in March??
  13. Nothing will ever top that one. All ice storms since then have been a joke.
  14. Don't worry, the snow will all be gone soon and then you can disappear again.
  15. I would describe this snow as more like the tar from an emphysemic smoker's lungs after a three pack a day habit for 40 years... but yeah still awesome.
  16. Models often overdo the "second phase" of these events. and the HRRR/RAP at range are really suspect. Based on radar, things are winding down, could be some bursts here and there, sure. Great event. So often things are boom or bust around here. Always nice to get a "standard" 4-6 inch snowstorm for the area. Like your grandpa used to frequently enjoy from DEC 1 to MAR 1 before our climate was apparently screwed up. LOL
  17. SREFs have burned us many times. They can appear to be very stubborn which makes it seem that they have caught on to some trend ahead of the other models, but then it turns out they are just crap and were way off the whole time. People also forget to take out the outliers (high and low) to produce the mean. There are some real garbage members in there (various ARW - Always Really Wet and NMM - Never Much Moisture runs) that always mess up the mean.
×
×
  • Create New...