PhineasC

4 minutes ago, MuddyWx said:

I guess it's hard for me to see the excitement.. it looks like rain and then a flip to snow, which doesn't really accumulate at all

Tons of precip wasted on rain and less precip in the places it can actually snow. 

On the other hand, the other models are pretty good here in terms of liquid:

06z RGEM: 1.33"

06z 3k: 1.4"

06z 12k: 1.2"

00z FV3: 1.35"

06z GFS: 1.27"

00z GGEM: 1.26"

Nice consistency. Euro is definitely the outlier here.

This paints an event with 10-12 for the synoptic piece and then some backside upslope, maybe 3-5.

The 0z Euro was really lame.

06z is a little better.

Turns this thing into a diffuse mess.

GFS colder but also weaker and it flies through the area quickly. Reminds me of the 12z Euro. Key for bigger totals in NNE will be the upslope. The synoptic piece should be good for up to 10”. 

NAM looks great and has a solid upslope signal too.

I don't follow baseball that closely, but the "shift" is where the players in the field move around to take advantage of tendencies by certain hitters to always put the ball in play in certain spots, correct? Why is that being banned? If the hitters don't like it shouldn't they adjust? The fielding team just has to stand in one place now or something? I don't get this one.

I went to Wildcat today. Curiosity, I guess. They have very limited terrain open. Lynx was closed which was nuts to me. That's a core manmade groomer that already had bare spots... super bad sign.

Basically only two paths down from the summit and that's it.

Mixed bag on what was open, some spots had softened and were OK (not exactly packed powder, but skiable) and other areas were unworkable sheet ice. Spent a lot of time carving decent soft snow and then sliding 20 feet and then carving again. Rinse and repeat all the way down the mountain.

The biggest shocker to me was how melted out it is at 4,000 feet. Bare everywhere. Looks like my front yard. Feels much more like 10 April than 10 March.

No one is gonna be skiing Wildcat's legendary soft bumps in April this season. They will be shutting down soon if they don't get a bunch more snow or we get another warm cutter. The manmade trails are already thin.

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ok, fair enough.  Let’s lock it in. Cuz it was pretty decent here too. 

Yeah, I feel pretty good about 10"+ now. This run kicks off some better NW flow upslope after the storm passes and that will be high ratio fluff here. The final .25" liquid can easily be 5" or more. It's how some of us in NNE really pad those stats. LOL

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Well you keep honking about wanting a crusher, and double digits etc etc…

7” isn’t exactly what you’ve been wishing for. But we’ll keep you updated. 

I don't live in Berlin, FYI. 

I frequently beat them by 4" or more in events like this. They do not get any NW flow upslope of note either.

But good try. LOL

This run has better precip up here than 12z which was weaksauce for sure. I am good with it verifying.

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

The clown map shows 7” for you. 

Appreciate the update. Keep me posted.

10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Lol you better hope the Euro is out to lunch…or the big storm up there is toast. 

This was the best Euro run in a while here. I will lock it up right now.

Definitely no complaints about the Euro. It's a great run here. Better than 12z for sure.

14 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

ukie?

That’s like having Italy as your ally in a world war.  

Isn’t euro all alone now?

Nice juice-up from 12z on the GFS. Nice run here. Lock it in.

Hard to trust the NAM at all. It’s all over the place. 3k is a crusher though. 

Just now, dendrite said:

Deep spring next week.

Deeper than today? Already feels like April. 

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Whole system was kind of meh from a dynamics standpoint...for a min i thought it was gonna try and go the 3km NAM route of redeveloping a nice low along the front further south, but it wasn't quite able to do that. It would still flip most people over to snow but prob not more than an inch or two once you are southeast of  Berkshires/NW CT in SNE....it's a decent event for CNE/NNE but again, lacking the dynamics so it's not double digits.

Decent model spread right now for the time frame. 

Euro flies through the area and ends up a decent but somewhat lame event.

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I do find it interesting that we all have our personal favorite parts of winter / weather in general.

Some like high totals, some like pack, some like big events, some like high dews, temps etc, severe (ha!) 

Hopefully this thing Saturday is at least dynamic. I think we all agree if the storm is coming let it be interesting with winds, rates, duration, etc. Weaksauce spotty stuff is the worst. 

Yeah GGEM looks nice but I’m right on the line too. I will take my chances. I want a lot of precip with this one. 

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Absolutely but he needs to read our room better. We bust balls but still love our new neighbor 

I am waiting behind the Gorham Walmart to fight you guys!  

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Phin lives in an area with a population less than 400 people .

Damn that must have been weird for you since you are from the mid Atlantic. 

It was awesome for me. There is a little city right down the road. Plenty of civilization around here. 

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

You still have a month or so of decent winter chances... maybe no big storms but could get near 140"

Definitely an April blue bomb could be in the cards. early in the month would be good to make some good spring conditions for a few days.

All the cheap vinyl siding blew off my McMansion in the last cutter but it turns out there were beautiful whole logs underneath so it worked out I guess.