PhineasC

12 minutes ago, dryslot said:

No, You're still from Delaware.

I'm from MD. That's not really better, just wanted to make a note.  

Spotted in the wild in Gorham today:

If you can't read it, it says per Gov Sununu's order, they can't sell Russian vodka any more.

I find this to be pretty silly. 

I was in a bar and they were saying how they dumped out all of their Smirnoff. I didn't have the heart to tell them that isn't even a Russian vodka now... LOL

23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Would love to see the mtn view with a nice G&T in Randolph, NH. Still waiting for the invite. 

You hang out with a rough crowd here. I would be concerned about you bringing an entourage.   

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Well I mean I’m not begging lol, but I enjoy summer. I just enjoy all the stuff that goes along with it. Be it at the ocean, lake, neighbor’s pool....or ripping back a few with a 9pm dusk. 

I hear ya. The whole torch tiger bs begging for oppressive dews and record high temps is clearly trolling. No one on earth actually likes that crap. 

2 hours ago, EMontpelierWhiteout said:

The snow is only fake if you don’t get it…

That is damn right. 

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

You’re in Delaware in the summer. 

Yeah but I don’t worship the dews and beg for them. I tolerate them and dream of drier weather. That’s different. 

10 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Give me warm temps from the end of June to End of August.  But y’all can keep the swampazz.   I never have understood that.  

Me neither. 

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

It’s been doing it every run around the time it starts flipping to snow in SNE.

Clearly the software knows that's impossible and starts glitching out.

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I hate the shift if an infielder is deep in the outfield. Let them shift but only on the dirt.

That makes sense.

16 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Looks like the 3k nam is having those issues along the nose of that upper level jet…specifically the poleward exit region.

The end output is not crazy though. Seems in line with other models.

29 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

bring back the roided up monsters. now that all pitchers throw 97+, it's only fair

Or let these guys from the NES era take over:

NAM kuchera is nearly 20" here. LOL

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

18z NAM going west a solid tick.

Much better here.

1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

Yeah, 48 hours lead time is a LONG time for a warning. I tend to think it's too much time and the public often gets confused when the snow is supposed to start. Also there are plenty of events that slide away or cut north inside the last 48 hours. We're always confident...until we're not.

That's honestly the argument most times. 

As far as hype goes, yes. But the timing of issuing I don't much care who lives there, I mostly try and hit high traffic news times. Before they wake up, after dinner, before the 11 pm news, etc. CAR just happened to opt for 10 am today which made us stick out. We wanted to see all the 12z guidance before making a southern extent warning call. 

Appreciate the insight, it all makes sense as to the timing. Probably best to wait for the best info before making the call. I think the colors on the advisory maps only matters to the deranged weenies here like me anyway.  

One thing BTV does that I find weird is they issue exact numbers for snowfall forecasts (like Stowe will be shown at 12.7", Burlington 10.3" etc.). I find that to be kinda abnormal.

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Am I the only one that likes the shift? I mean it's strategy. If you can't hit the ball the other way then tough crap for you.

It seems odd to "ban" it. That seems like artificially messing with the game for ratings purposes?

If you want more action, make the games 5 innings and let everyone juice.

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like the 18z HRRR cut back a bit. I think anything more than maybe an inch or so could be tough SE of Ray to ORH to TOL. Roughly anyways.

Better here. Juiced up.

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

May be uncertainty nearby though.  Might prefer to change everyone to a headline at the same package issuance to avoid confusion.  But in general no one in the north will alter what they do whether there’s a warning or not, ha. I could see it mattering more in suburbia/urban corridor to get the word out?

Yeah, I think it's the Portland and Manchester crowds that drive the bus with issuing these products, which makes sense.

3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Just because they are a day ahead doesn't mean it's correct. Too often WFOs (ours included) thinks there is more confidence in an outcome than there actually is. There is considerable boom or bust potential on the southern edge of the heavy snow.

On average the Northeast WFOs rarely miss an event (10-20% of the time) but false alarm (i.e. issue warnings when it doesn't happen) 30 to 40% of the time. In my opinion waiting an extra 12 hours can really improve the second number while not hurting the first. And it's not like a watch doesn't already let people know it's going to snow.

Yeah, you guys are still within the window for issuing the warning and aren’t “late” or anything. Maybe BTV is just really early. It’s just always interesting to see a warning from them sometimes a day before a warning from right across the border. At this hour, there are warnings in VT and Maine but not for the Whites. I don’t think there is that much uncertainty up here. 

16 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Yeah, This system is flying.

They always are unless it’s a cutter then they last 36 hours. 

Once again GYX waits until the last second to issue a warning. BTV is always like a day ahead.

This one seems to have GYX kinda confused just based on the discos and P&C. 

4 minutes ago, Angus said:

really would like to ski saddleback tomorrow but not 100% sold on this thing...

 

It’s going to snow but this could easily end up being a rather lame and quick 4-6. The Greens and parts of NH will get some “fake” snow to pad totals. 

18 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Euro is pretty weak on the whole with moisture.

 

Last few Euro runs have been pretty zzzzzz for sure. The mesos are still pretty wet here so hopefully just a Euro fail. I will take any snow at this point. Hopefully at least an inch liquid to resurface the groomers. 

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Definitely more progressive and later phasing on the actual low but RGEM wasn’t bad.

The Greens up here should pack in some snow tomorrow morning with the mid-level Fronto.  What’s going to happen is what normally happens… the NGreens will go longer duration while Whites will get it in shorter duration.

By Sunday morning I bet it’s fairly similar for the mountains all across the North.

Agreed. You guys always catch up. 

RGEM is nice for the Whites. The latest runs do seem to move the best snow from the Greens to the Whites. 

3k still a crusher.