When will we break this one:
"The earliest in the year that New York City had a high temperature of at least 80 °F is March 13 which happened in 1990."
Not saying winter is over. We still have another window. However add another myth debunked to the list:
Debunked:
We no longer see benchmark storm tracks.
Added to the following Debunked myths:
Western pacific ocean temps mean constant MJO 456 phases.
NAO always connecting to the SE ridge.
Ocean temps mean the SE ridge is unstoppable.
Fast flow is now unstoppable.
Clippers are extinct.
February, but in a sea of warmth we had a snowstorm. I mean 60s and 70s and it snowed.
It all has to do with intensity, track and cold air. Basically all the normal ingredients we just lose some light snow during daytime ability.
In keeping with the 1970s comparison;
1.) NYC hit 70+ three times in March of 1977:
March 10: 70
March 29: 78
March 30: 75
March 31 close with 69
2.) NYC hit 80+ three times in April 1977:
April 12: 85
April 13: 85
April 22: 83
Can we get as warm as 1977? Would be nice for a change.
Even it its 1 day all we need is a snowstorm to get NYC to 50 and Providence to the all time record.
A long window would not even matter that late in the season.
Way out there but this next window is the last to:
1.) Get CPK to 50 inches
2.) Give Providence their all time snowiest winter!!!!
Unlikely given that March only had 5 inches or more when December had the same FOUR TIMES since 1970.
Not recent, and the 2nd year was only 29.4 barely above average, however you can include 77/78 and 78/79 (77/78 also had 2 KUs, one of which mixed with sleet like this year and the other a bomb cyclone like this year).
How can you get a cutter if the trough is far enough east? Also if the flow is fast enough a storm won't be able to amplify enough to cut.
We have had MANY snow events without blocking. 2013/2014 is a great example.
Not sure why it has to be KU or nothing