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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. From my untrained eye the NAM has the low hugging the coast more and heading more north instead of heading east which most likely allows the precip to be thrown back at us.
  2. Rgem is west of the 12z which is good to see. Next up is the 18z euro and then the 0z NAM. When do the SREFs and other short range models and plots come out?
  3. Quit it its only December 14. We aren't gonna jack pot on every storm.
  4. Fully expecting the NAM to drop totals again because like I said we got NAMd as usual. We could literally write a script for storms that screw us.
  5. Hope for this to bust high. Nowcasting always makes for interesting things too.
  6. NAM is either gonna cave hard or stick with its guns. Come on NAM and score a coupe.
  7. If the Euro trends at all south east ill jump off the train. Let's wait and see what it does.
  8. I jumped to the snow maps without looking at the H5. Thats good news if the H5 improved. I'm hearing the GEFS moved slightly north too.
  9. I believe I'm squatting right now so can't look at it fully but the low is deeper too.
  10. RGEM 12z moved east. There is no way the NAM is correct. Id bet that the European will correct back southeast in the next two runs.
  11. If Euro caves then it is over but I still think MAG had the right idea with high end advisory/low end warning.
  12. If they both move NW then its game on. I just feel like we will get a south east trend last minute or maybe we get a 2010 miracle.
  13. Fully expecting for the NAM to cave to the gfs next run. I'm still think we get a 4-8 type storm which would be a decent thump and a good way to start the season.
  14. Looks like the NAM closes off the low and is tucked. Likely the NAM being the NAM. The 6z GFS did tick a slight bit west but looks nothing like the NAM. Maybe the NAM steals a victory but no other guidance looks like this. Still time for things to change and we've seen now casting where a low ends up 50 miles west or east of the major models.
  15. Its almost like its the same script everytime. We start to see some promising trends for a suite of two and then boom it disappears. Look we even have a NAMing
  16. Glad I was sleeping during that debacle of a game. The EPS moved in our favor atleast. Maybe we do sneak out another 6-8 type storm which would anybody complain even if out east they get 12-18? Our time will come but this storm is not it.
  17. I'm betting that when I wake up at 2AM at work that I will see some good trends on the models. Just a feeling. 18z euro tells me to **** off and enjoy the 2016 cutoff
  18. 18z gfs is better than the 12z. That would be a good trend if it could continue. I'm at work so can't really check to see why it is. Verbatim shows around 4-6 type.
  19. NAM has ticked east. Let's hope for an overperformer but this isn't our storm.
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