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CNY-LES FREAK

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Everything posted by CNY-LES FREAK

  1. It's been a minute, where is everyone? Perhaps Discord? I'm in NYC, yuck, lol!! Sent from my Stratus_C5_Elite using Tapatalk
  2. I call fubar on their outlook because it's pretty hard to forecast below normal temps in Alaska. When it's below normal in Alaska, then that translates into a trough along the Eastern seaboard but we shall see. If we get more than 3" I will be impressed but I seriously doubt anything over 4-6" nevermind 7-12", lol. This SLP, if you wanna call it that, is booking along at a super fast clip, so it's pretty much impossible to drop that kind of snowfall with such a progressive pattern, but the one saving grace is that the upper levels are still ideal for a period of Heavy Snow somewhere in and around CNY. This is the 29th anniversary of the Storm of the 20th Century, Storm of 93'. It looked eerily similar leading up to the event then the models shit the bed as usual. CNY, face it, is a shitty area if you want some serious East Coast Events cause the SLP wants the super warm water along the Eastern seaboard, it doesn't want to head inland, lol, as it has tried to do several times this year. Did today's Euro look as bad as the GFS? The GFS just doesn't make much sense, as I think it's wrong in it's depiction of the trough coming and going, within 14hrs! Perhaps it's biased towards lifting out troughs way before their ready. The trough doesn't even go negative tilt anymore either, which was slowing it down just enough to drop some decent snow but that's gone now. This is the last Storm that I'm riding out as I'm headed back downstate where gas prices are approaching $6.75 on the Island of Staten which is absolutely absurd and it's not stopping either. By May June it'll be closer to $8.00, watch. I'm still hoping to get up into much higher elevation but I need to relax and just stack my bank and just keep looking for something special perhaps Vermont, Good luck to all with this event cause tomorrow when we wake we will be either happy campers or extremely [emoji34] cause all's you hear is wet roads but one other saving grace is that this event is hitting us at Night so that will definitely help but don't expect the totals the NWS is throwing out so Ciao everyone and the next time I post I'll be in NYC, Peace to all and it was a great 20yrs downwind of Lake Ontario. Ty Sent from my moto g pure using Tapatalk
  3. Glorified overrunning event will be our biggest event of the Season, lol, I might have to Start following the Severe Season, lol!! Cold 29• S+ Not much blowing or drifting, lack of forcing, dendritic size is super ideal, super deep riming action, moisture is coming right from the Gulf over a Super dome of fresh Arctic Air, spells trouble for tonight's ride home thats for sure! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  4. Whoever gets under that Deformation band will be the winners for sure and look how far NW it goes from the SLP! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  5. Oh, I see, their seeing a wicked dry slot that's why the paltry totals coming out of BGM. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  6. What is up with BGM?? Are they serious with that stupid looking adv-warning maps? Advisory for Onondaga and Madison and even Oneida? Idk who's forecasting but man, they may be right, I suppose, so we'll see. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  7. Thanks BW, I wish I could be here, but just too much going on with the sale of the house and moving, so its been pretty hectic, and it's happening, in the middle of Winter, how stupid right? I can thank my ex for that bullshit! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  8. Look at all the little disturbances traversing the trough, very nice looking system, almost too good to be true at this juncture so somethings gotta give, lol!! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  9. Sweet looking CSI banding right there, 2-3"/hr stuff right there with wicked winds out of the NE so KROC can be in for a sweet event! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  10. I gotta go look at some mid lol guidance. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  11. Biggest one of the season, and that not saying much at all, but I see 5" totals inbound for the synoptic part then 3-5 for residual LE, not a bad event as it looks now but that banding on most guidance can't be overlooked. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  12. Thanks Wolfie, I was posting in the wrong thread, lol! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  13. It's looking more and more like a phased Miller B as opposed to a Miller A, when she rides up the whole eastern seaboard like 93', but it looks like the SLP gets captured for a partial phase but I'm just going off what I seen on TWC. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  14. I think Izzy is gonna be a nice region wide snowfall with some serious totals coming in directly South of Ontario and the to the SE of the Lake as the LE sets up behind the departing LP. I'm gonna stick around for this one cause it has the potential to be a KU, one for the record books! Temps are cold throughout and 3 days before the system starts to affect our region of the NE. I haven't even looked at any models as of yet cause I can't imagine their all in agreement this far out, but I could be wrong. I'm just thinking what can possibly go wrong, lol, and we know, all too well, the answer to that one, lol!! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  15. This almost looks interesting with a nice connection upstream. I've gotten 3" so far, and it's coming down quite nicely as I sit here just touching the southern most portion of the band. It looks like it's starting to head South again; perhaps it can drop another 2" as she sweeps through later this afternoon, so not a bad Winter Day. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  16. After tomorrow, lol, NYC and the surrounding suburbs of the Tri -State are will have more snow than Syracuse. I'm going back into my hole!! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  17. What in God's name is happening around here? I mean, this is the absolute worst, and I haven't seen it this bad since I moved up here! It just keeps getting worse and worse, lol, WOW! There's a split flow storm track, or so it seems with every storm system this yr so far, and just when we thought some decent cold air was incoming, we instead continue the roller-coaster. The track to the North brings just enough warm air that we see a change over, or just plain rain from the get go, then after the CF passes, we cool off and we also dry out so that whatever cold air is left over, is completely dry and stale, disgusting! We need a blockbuster to reset the whole pattern cause this shite is getting OLD and fast! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  18. Yeah, that map is definitely wrong, especially here, about 25 miles north of Syracuse, where it's showing 2-3" currently otg. I don't have my glasses on, so I can't see shit, lol! Doesn't there have to be 1" other the morning of Christmas for it to be a White Christmas? If thats the case, I don't think anywhere will verify accept those that live on the Tug and perhaps South of KBUF but IDK about that area. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  19. Yeah, and I wouldn't call what we experienced, a furnace, but definitely warm for mid-December, but I've seen it much warmer than that, so it's all relative, I suppose. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  20. How did this work? Lmao Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  21. Definitely time for you to just move Bri because you just like warm weather way too much, lol!! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  22. What a dud of a SWFE event right? I mean come on already, are the Winters of old gone? I mean It snowed for an hour, then it went over to IP then to plain rain, and it changed over quickly. I didn't believe any of the models that were spitting out more than 1/2" of slush and thats exactly what fell, a slushy 1" if that! I guess we're experiencing what Winters will be like if we keep screwing with the Atmosphere like we do, but who really knows! I'll be back when a big one is on its way or a decent LE event but I don't even see that right now. Last week it looked pretty good for the week of Christmas, but that shit the bed as well, lol!! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  23. Agreed, that's why I haven't been posting that much because the writings on the wall already this yr. Like you mentioned, it gets worse and worse with every passing yr, except for the one or two anomalous yrs in there that stand out that are cold and snowy but there becoming few and far between as well so. Just sold my house and I haven't got a clue where I'm going yet, but I will be going way up in elevation, that's one thing I'm certain about right now but that too can change! Perhaps Vermont or New Hampshire or even the central portion of Maine so we'll see! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
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