North Balti Zen

Seriously? It all rode just to their west and northwest?

Yup. Add me into the holy crap index. After almost a complete subsidence hell whiff all day yesterday it is legit snow here now and radar looks frisky.

These notes are cures for the continued dry slot blues...

Yeah, frustrating being the dry slot for this. again.

The cruelty of dry slots.

Every time I think it is gonna produce here it dials back to flurries. Ah well, still pretty.

Band made it here - now to see if it can do any business.

Send it 15 miles south!

What a map. I assume that covers both the weekend and mid-week next week potential events...

I can confirm it. Nothing here. Adding nothing to totals.

Word. It can stay a spell. Maybe have a second beer.

Yeah, the ice portion of the proceedings was legit.

Trying to keep my hopes in check and setting them at a bar that might be reachable. Even just going from the Eddie's on Charles back down Charles one mile to my house near Friends the flakes went from "wow, this is happening" to the more snow misty kind. I love the chances for anyone 695 and north to get there. I am about three miles inside 695 - we will see. Glad to see snow falling again in any event.

2-4 inches would be hugely acceptable for my hood. Hoping for mappy and high stakes and psu to max with some of that making it down here.

29 and legit rates. If this were to hold there will be accumulations for certain.

Definite light snow here now. This rules.

At the Eddies on charles avenue at the balt city/county line very light snow has started.

Not NW, but just down Northern from you and across 83, nothing but light freezing rain so far today.

I am guessing if we do get some higher winds that there will be branches and limbs down at spots in my part of the city. I can hear the creaking of the branches now when I step outside - pretty good encasement of snow and ice on limbs here.

I think there was an interim update posted in the snow predictions contest thread...

Freezing rain and 30 on my walk just now with the pup - ice everywhere over the snow. Waiting to see if it can flip back to snow.

Really pulling for you guys. Would be awesome. Good luck.

Find you something in life that makes you as happy as a snowed over parking lot that is empty and crusted with ice like a skating rink and a bright orange frisbee that slides forever and ever like it does a yellow lab. What a great walk just now.

Dammit. iPhone and typing too quickly. Fixed.

I guess I remain stunned at how some people view long range guidance. I would have thought we were all on board that from 5-7 days out the long range models in winter are useful for getting a general idea of big features - upper air patterns, the possibility of storminess, the availability of cold. From 5-7 days ahead of today at least the Euro was advertising the possibility of a storm along the east coast, and that it might pack a punch. It is beyond strange to me that anyone would say that was a failure because the blob of insane snow ended up 150 miles from our area. The fact that it nailed that there was a storm in this window AND that the storm would have an impact is really quite a feat. Even from 3-4 days out when the GFS and CMC began to catch on the blob moved around - which makes sense given the complexity of the set-up. But for people to spend time in the main thread being mad online and claiming that one model blows or another model blows because it didn't exactly put the conditions of a complex system over their neighborhood five days out is crazy to me. Especially if they carry a certain color tag. If this was summer and one model showed a week out highs for the area at 107, I would assume that people would raise an eyebrow and note that big heat looks like a possibility. Then, when a week passes and the high is "only" 101, I don't recall people dunking on the model for being insanely wrong. Maybe this same kind of craziness arises around tropical systems, I don't follow those as closely, But I would presume that a week out if a model is able to successfully show a storm in a general area and there ends up actually being a storm in the general area a week later, that's a pretty good heads up. In any event, congrats to our mets on this board who work on modeling the atmosphere. It is pretty damn impressive work.