I don’t have the patience to go find them, but I could collect some posts from the really good posters on here that have said , since Jan 1, to
“watch the period starting on the tenth”
”by the 15th we should be seeing blues on runs”
”the period around the 20th is ripe”
”window should be wide open by the 24th-26th”
and now Ralph’s above. and that’s setting aside the posts from mid-December that the period from Christmas to New Years and just after New Years were ripe.
larger observation is we’ve been kicking this can down the road for about a month now - the can being “ something , anything to track”. When I’ve seen this before in the previous 11 winters I’ve been here, it is, generally, not ideal.
this road ends with the people in the maryland highlands trying to convince anyone below 1000 feet in elevation that snow on March 25th is good while they get five inches and everyone else gets puddles...
hope one of these goalpost moving periods gets closer in time, but for 30 days now the goalposts keep moving.
also, side note, props to the GFS for generally refusing to show blue over us in the long range, as that has been accurate as hell...