North Balti Zen

mitochondria mitosis meiosis

that's day 1 science, really.

It's like the GFS took the criticisms from the last few years about its ensembles too much following the OP and was like, "fine, watch this"...

lol - MY kids - both now in their 20s - neither of them give a shit about weather. They are probably not even mine, now that I think about it...

AMITAKINGCRAZYPILLS? DOWELIVEINTUGHILLNOW? Sorry for shouting - but - holy hell -people losing their shit over a run that drops 12-16" on us. What even is reality, really?

Sweet bleeding deities - A SINGLE RUN of one model is NOT a trend. On top of those invoking the waking horror of the 0z runs --those were around a foot encapsulated in sleet to keep us all in a skating rink for weeks - which omg would be SO welcome up in central northern maryland given the snow desert we've been in for about a decade so not a horror - in between the 6z runs pulled back from that to a much cleaner heavy snow set of scenarios and then GFS that JUST RAN was not that either and was textbook cold smoke. So, then the CMC comes along, always our most amped model (do we not remember such things year over year - a few years back it gave us 60 inches at one point six days out which was beyond hilarious for something that didn't even turn into a storm) - and it is, dear lord, shocking super amped, and we still even on that one get 6-12" before glaciating it in ice and it is a trend? I am a simple and dumb person, really, when it comes to atmospheric physics and fluid dynamics, but IF the high is what it is supposed to be, there is only so far north this can drive even with help from whatever ridging the CMC is showing back west to allow this - so... tl/dr putonbigpersonpants, certain people.

I need you to look up the definition of "trend".

No one is hugging it - it is now more in line with (checks notes) EVERY OTHER piece of guidance. When it did that weirdness yesterday it was out on an island. It literally had ZERO precip when no other guidance was remotely close to that. Just saying.

...you, then one-celled organisms, then Chuck, then primordial ooze, then me.

@bncho Please do not misintpret the requests in the main thread - that's something that we all try to do when we get close to legit events - staying out of the way of whoever is doing the main PBP - it helps readability as it unfolds. Doesn't mean you should not literally do what you did - which is watch it unfold and make notes about what you may or may not agree with in the PBP's narration - just hold those thoughts until the run passes the point of interest. That said, your entry on the board has been delightful and I am glad (as are most I would hope) you are here and feel at home sharing your love of weather/snow with the rest of us weather lunatics. Also, your understanding of the maps is pretty damn impressive for anyone, much less a pre-college student.

Just bigtime LOL that the GFS just 24 hours ago gave us all an areawide 0.0" . Just good stuff from that model.

Where is @NorthArlington101 with the pretty maps now? Thanks @stormtracker as always - and thanks for folks letting him do his thing. For newcomers - it is MUCH better for a one person to do the PBP - people can weigh in as it passes the point of interest. Helps us all sort and assimilate the information and discussion.

@bncho AHEM - play along at home (school) until the run is past Monday por favor - then jump back in young friend

Please, people, let Randy do the pbp and let the model run to the end of this current possible event before jumping to conclusions. He will give everyone the good picture and then folks can resume worrying/weenie'ing.

shit. ah well, on to 2027.

It literally gave 0.0 inches yesterday at this time to pretty much the entire forum other than the far southern folk so...not sure what more it can do to top that.

PREACH

Pretty sure that was rather delightful sarcasm from WxUSAF

Was 10 in Fallston at the farm this AM.

Is this where I can extrapolate the NAM for February 2?

motherofsidewaysfucks, are people really extrapolating the NAM and then worrying about their fictional extrapolation?

But what if it ends as sleet? It would be ruined!

Maybe stop worrying about what you literally can’t control? we’ve been dying for a moisture laden bomb into cold air for a decade. Just roll the dice and hope for the best. This beats the hell out of hoping to squeeze a warning level snow out of .3” qpf from a weak low sliding off the coast and watching the northern edge get eaten by dry air. I mean, jeebus everyone.

Oh no! 12-18 inches of snow before we worry about sleet on top? awful! We need to go back to the happier runs where we smoked cirrus- that was totally better… FORFUCKSAKE PEOPLE

From 0" to 12" in one run. Good stuff, GFS. Steady as she goes...